**The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed July 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, remains in place with limited legislative momentum for repeal.** The provision limits itemized deductions for wagering losses to 90% of winnings (down from the prior 100% offset), a change projected to raise roughly $1.1 billion in revenue over a decade. Bipartisan repeal efforts—including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act introduced in late 2025 and early 2026—have been proposed by lawmakers from gambling-heavy states but have stalled without committee advancement or floor votes. With the 2026 session winding down and no scheduled action or appropriations vehicle positioned to include reversal before year-end, traders assign an 83.5% probability that the cap persists into 2027. Historical patterns of tax code stability once enacted and competing legislative priorities further support the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
17% Chance
$71,078 Vol.
$71,078 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
17% Chance
$71,078 Vol.
$71,078 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed July 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, remains in place with limited legislative momentum for repeal.** The provision limits itemized deductions for wagering losses to 90% of winnings (down from the prior 100% offset), a change projected to raise roughly $1.1 billion in revenue over a decade. Bipartisan repeal efforts—including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act introduced in late 2025 and early 2026—have been proposed by lawmakers from gambling-heavy states but have stalled without committee advancement or floor votes.
With the 2026 session winding down and no scheduled action or appropriations vehicle positioned to include reversal before year-end, traders assign an 83.5% probability that the cap persists into 2027. Historical patterns of tax code stability once enacted and competing legislative priorities further support the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$71,078Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed July 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, remains in place with limited legislative momentum for repeal.** The provision limits itemized deductions for wagering losses to 90% of winnings (down from the prior 100% offset), a change projected to raise roughly $1.1 billion in revenue over a decade. Bipartisan repeal efforts—including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act introduced in late 2025 and early 2026—have been proposed by lawmakers from gambling-heavy states but have stalled without committee advancement or floor votes.
With the 2026 session winding down and no scheduled action or appropriations vehicle positioned to include reversal before year-end, traders assign an 83.5% probability that the cap persists into 2027. Historical patterns of tax code stability once enacted and competing legislative priorities further support the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$71,078Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed July 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, remains in place with limited legislative momentum for repeal.** The provision limits itemized deductions for wagering losses to 90% of winnings (down from the prior 100% offset), a change projected to raise roughly $1.1 billion in revenue over a decade. Bipartisan repeal efforts—including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act introduced in late 2025 and early 2026—have been proposed by lawmakers from gambling-heavy states but have stalled without committee advancement or floor votes. With the 2026 session winding down and no scheduled action or appropriations vehicle positioned to include reversal before year-end, traders assign an 83.5% probability that the cap persists into 2027. Historical patterns of tax code stability once enacted and competing legislative priorities further support the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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