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icon for Senatswahl in Arkansas: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Arkansas: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Senatswahl in Arkansas: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Arkansas: Wahlbeteiligung

750K-825K 29%

825.000-900.000 21%

900K-975K 17%

600.000-675.000 15.8%

Polymarket
NEU

750K-825K 29%

825.000-900.000 21%

900K-975K 17%

600.000-675.000 15.8%

Polymarket
NEU

<600T

$119 Vol.

11%

600.000-675.000

$49 Vol.

16%

675K-750K

$139 Vol.

11%

750K-825K

$94 Vol.

21%

825.000-900.000

$69 Vol.

21%

900K-975K

$70 Vol.

17%

975T-1,05M

$62 Vol.

12%

1,05 Mio+

$138 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Arkansas's 2026 U.S. Senate race features incumbent Republican Tom Cotton facing Democrat Hallie Shoffner in a contest rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters.** With primaries completed in March and limited general-election competitiveness, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to turnout exceeding 1.05 million votes, followed closely by the 750K-900K ranges. This positioning reflects Arkansas's deep-red baseline, where Republican base mobilization typically drives midterm participation even without a tight contest, tempered by historically lower off-year engagement compared to presidential cycles. Recent polling shows Cotton maintaining double-digit leads, reducing urgency for both sides and supporting moderate rather than record turnout. No major late-breaking events have altered this outlook since the primaries, leaving expectations anchored to standard midterm patterns and the state's registered voter pool.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$738
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Arkansas's 2026 U.S. Senate race features incumbent Republican Tom Cotton facing Democrat Hallie Shoffner in a contest rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters.** With primaries completed in March and limited general-election competitiveness, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to turnout exceeding 1.05 million votes, followed closely by the 750K-900K ranges. This positioning reflects Arkansas's deep-red baseline, where Republican base mobilization typically drives midterm participation even without a tight contest, tempered by historically lower off-year engagement compared to presidential cycles. Recent polling shows Cotton maintaining double-digit leads, reducing urgency for both sides and supporting moderate rather than record turnout. No major late-breaking events have altered this outlook since the primaries, leaving expectations anchored to standard midterm patterns and the state's registered voter pool.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$738
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Alabama zwischen 1.500.000 und 1.600.000 liegen?

46%
Ja
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42%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Arkansas: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1,05 Mio+" mit 30%, gefolgt von „750K-825K" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 30¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 30% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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