South Carolina's U.S. Senate general election on November 3 features Republican nominee Darline Graham facing Democrat Annie Andrews in a contest rated Likely or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. With roughly 3.4 million registered voters, trader consensus remains tightly clustered across turnout bands from under 1.4 million to over 2.2 million votes because baseline participation in this safely Republican seat depends heavily on relative party mobilization. Recent special Republican primary voting on August 11 produced notably low participation, consistent with subdued interest in low-stakes or foregone races. Key variables that could separate the ranges include Democratic get-out-the-vote intensity in urban and suburban areas, any late national political developments affecting enthusiasm, weather on Election Day, and the effectiveness of early and absentee voting programs. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of high-salience ballot measures or scandals currently anchor expectations near mid-range totals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in South Carolina: Wahlbeteiligung
1,4 Mio.-1,6 Mio. 45%
2M-2,2M 45%
2,2 Mio.+ 45%
<1,4 Mio. 45%
<1,4 Mio.
45%
1,4 Mio.-1,6 Mio.
45%
1,6M-1,8M
45%
1,8M-2M
45%
2M-2,2M
45%
2,2 Mio.+
45%
1,4 Mio.-1,6 Mio. 45%
2M-2,2M 45%
2,2 Mio.+ 45%
<1,4 Mio. 45%
<1,4 Mio.
45%
1,4 Mio.-1,6 Mio.
45%
1,6M-1,8M
45%
1,8M-2M
45%
2M-2,2M
45%
2,2 Mio.+
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina's U.S. Senate general election on November 3 features Republican nominee Darline Graham facing Democrat Annie Andrews in a contest rated Likely or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. With roughly 3.4 million registered voters, trader consensus remains tightly clustered across turnout bands from under 1.4 million to over 2.2 million votes because baseline participation in this safely Republican seat depends heavily on relative party mobilization. Recent special Republican primary voting on August 11 produced notably low participation, consistent with subdued interest in low-stakes or foregone races. Key variables that could separate the ranges include Democratic get-out-the-vote intensity in urban and suburban areas, any late national political developments affecting enthusiasm, weather on Election Day, and the effectiveness of early and absentee voting programs. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of high-salience ballot measures or scandals currently anchor expectations near mid-range totals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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