Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,497 amid a crawling-band regime where the floor and ceiling adjust monthly in line with lagged inflation data. With year-to-date inflation running around 33% and consensus forecasts for full-year 2026 CPI near 30%, the peso's gradual depreciation path supports trader pricing that places the highest implied probabilities on outcomes below 1,700 by year-end. Reserve-accumulation purchases by the BCRA, fiscal restraint under the Milei administration, and contained monthly inflation prints near 2% have kept volatility low and reinforced the band’s credibility, limiting upside pressure on the rate. Key near-term catalysts include the September inflation release and any BCRA interventions that could shift the crawl rate or band width.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
<1600,00
43%
1600,00–1699,99
33%
1700,00–1799,99
8%
1800,00–1899,99
6%
1900,00–1999,99
1%
2000,00+
3%
$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
<1600,00
$2,450 Vol.
43%
1600,00–1699,99
$2,015 Vol.
33%
1700,00–1799,99
$2,198 Vol.
8%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,626 Vol.
6%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,566 Vol.
1%
2000,00+
$1,747 Vol.
3%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,497 amid a crawling-band regime where the floor and ceiling adjust monthly in line with lagged inflation data. With year-to-date inflation running around 33% and consensus forecasts for full-year 2026 CPI near 30%, the peso's gradual depreciation path supports trader pricing that places the highest implied probabilities on outcomes below 1,700 by year-end. Reserve-accumulation purchases by the BCRA, fiscal restraint under the Milei administration, and contained monthly inflation prints near 2% have kept volatility low and reinforced the band’s credibility, limiting upside pressure on the rate. Key near-term catalysts include the September inflation release and any BCRA interventions that could shift the crawl rate or band width.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$21,601Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,497 amid a crawling-band regime where the floor and ceiling adjust monthly in line with lagged inflation data. With year-to-date inflation running around 33% and consensus forecasts for full-year 2026 CPI near 30%, the peso's gradual depreciation path supports trader pricing that places the highest implied probabilities on outcomes below 1,700 by year-end. Reserve-accumulation purchases by the BCRA, fiscal restraint under the Milei administration, and contained monthly inflation prints near 2% have kept volatility low and reinforced the band’s credibility, limiting upside pressure on the rate. Key near-term catalysts include the September inflation release and any BCRA interventions that could shift the crawl rate or band width.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$21,601Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,497 amid a crawling-band regime where the floor and ceiling adjust monthly in line with lagged inflation data. With year-to-date inflation running around 33% and consensus forecasts for full-year 2026 CPI near 30%, the peso's gradual depreciation path supports trader pricing that places the highest implied probabilities on outcomes below 1,700 by year-end. Reserve-accumulation purchases by the BCRA, fiscal restraint under the Milei administration, and contained monthly inflation prints near 2% have kept volatility low and reinforced the band’s credibility, limiting upside pressure on the rate. Key near-term catalysts include the September inflation release and any BCRA interventions that could shift the crawl rate or band width.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen