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icon for Senatswahl in Alabama: Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Alabama: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Senatswahl in Alabama: Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Alabama: Wahlbeteiligung

1,5M-1,6M 32%

1,6M-1,7M 31.9%

1,4 Mio.–1,5 Mio. 21%

1,2M-1,3M 9.1%

Polymarket
NEU

1,5M-1,6M 32%

1,6M-1,7M 31.9%

1,4 Mio.–1,5 Mio. 21%

1,2M-1,3M 9.1%

Polymarket
NEU

<1,2 Mio.

$1,162 Vol.

6%

1,2M-1,3M

$930 Vol.

9%

1,3M-1,4M

$420 Vol.

8%

1,4 Mio.–1,5 Mio.

$303 Vol.

21%

1,5M-1,6M

$476 Vol.

32%

1,6M-1,7M

$460 Vol.

32%

1,7M–1,8M

$185 Vol.

3%

1,8 Mio+

$2,786 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Alabama Senate Election: Turnout** Trader pricing clusters around 1.5–1.7 million total votes because Alabama’s 2026 primaries showed persistently low participation—10.7% in the June runoff and 23% in the May primary—setting a baseline for a low-salience midterm general election. With Republican Barry Moore holding a double-digit lead over Democrat Everett Wess in limited polling and the seat rated safe Republican after Tommy Tuberville’s departure, the contest lacks the intensity that typically drives higher turnout. Alabama’s roughly 3.6 million registered voters have produced comparable midterm totals in prior cycles, but weak Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive down-ballot races reinforce expectations of middling mobilization. Modest shifts in Republican base enthusiasm or Democratic get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of November 3 remain the main variables that could move the distribution.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,724
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Alabama Senate Election: Turnout** Trader pricing clusters around 1.5–1.7 million total votes because Alabama’s 2026 primaries showed persistently low participation—10.7% in the June runoff and 23% in the May primary—setting a baseline for a low-salience midterm general election. With Republican Barry Moore holding a double-digit lead over Democrat Everett Wess in limited polling and the seat rated safe Republican after Tommy Tuberville’s departure, the contest lacks the intensity that typically drives higher turnout. Alabama’s roughly 3.6 million registered voters have produced comparable midterm totals in prior cycles, but weak Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive down-ballot races reinforce expectations of middling mobilization. Modest shifts in Republican base enthusiasm or Democratic get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of November 3 remain the main variables that could move the distribution.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,724
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Alabama: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1,5M-1,6M" mit 32%, gefolgt von „1,6M-1,7M" mit 32%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 32¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 32% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in Alabama: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Alabama: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „1,5M-1,6M" mit 32%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 32% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „1,6M-1,7M" mit 32%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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