Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s interim president since his January 2025 appointment, overseeing security restructurings, force integration efforts, and diplomatic outreach that include a July 2026 intelligence leadership overhaul and active pursuit of security arrangements with Israel. These steps, alongside international engagement such as White House meetings and UN visits, have reinforced his position amid ongoing reconstruction priorities and transitional governance. Recent polling and official actions indicate sustained domestic and external backing, with the interim framework projected to extend well beyond 2026 absent acute disruptions. Traders therefore assign low probability to his removal by year-end, viewing institutional controls and regional stabilization efforts as primary stabilizers.