High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert115-120 Mio. 16%
120-125 Mio. 15%
130 Mio.+ 13.9%
110-115 Mio. 10%
$11,141 Vol.
$11,141 Vol.
<85 Mio.
8%
85-90 Mio.
<1%
90-95 Mio.
3%
95-100 Mio.
2%
100–105 Mio.
3%
105–110 Mio.
22%
110-115 Mio.
10%
115-120 Mio.
16%
120-125 Mio.
15%
125-130 Mio.
8%
130 Mio.+
14%
115-120 Mio. 16%
120-125 Mio. 15%
130 Mio.+ 13.9%
110-115 Mio. 10%
$11,141 Vol.
$11,141 Vol.
<85 Mio.
8%
85-90 Mio.
<1%
90-95 Mio.
3%
95-100 Mio.
2%
100–105 Mio.
3%
105–110 Mio.
22%
110-115 Mio.
10%
115-120 Mio.
16%
120-125 Mio.
15%
125-130 Mio.
8%
130 Mio.+
14%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die Demokratische Partei bei den Zwischenwahlen zum US-Repräsentantenhaus 2026 die Mehrheit der Stimmen mit einem Vorsprung zwischen 6 % und 8 % gewinnen?
Wird die Republikanische Partei nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 weniger als 190 Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus halten?
Werden die Zwischenwahlen 2026 wie geplant stattfinden?
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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