Recent U.S. policy shifts following the January 2026 removal of Nicolás Maduro, including eased sanctions and expanded licenses for foreign deals, have driven Venezuelan crude output higher to approximately 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day as of July 2026, up from sub-1 million levels in 2025. This rebound reflects trader consensus on near-term operational improvements via workovers and re-engagement by international oil companies, though reaching materially higher thresholds would require $10–20 billion in sustained capital to address infrastructure decay and boost volumes toward 1.4–1.5 million bpd. Key catalysts ahead include royalty cap implementations and new licensing rounds, balanced against execution risks and historical base rates for rapid recovery in sanctioned producers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
$182,397 Vol.
Feb 27, 2027
1.2m
64%
1.3m
19%
1.4m
9%
1.5m
6%
1.7m
3%
2m
2%
$182,397 Vol.
1.2m
$10,444 Vol.
64%
1.3m
$7,721 Vol.
19%
1.4m
$19,774 Vol.
9%
1.5m
$9,719 Vol.
6%
1.7m
$58,787 Vol.
3%
2m
$16,314 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. policy shifts following the January 2026 removal of Nicolás Maduro, including eased sanctions and expanded licenses for foreign deals, have driven Venezuelan crude output higher to approximately 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day as of July 2026, up from sub-1 million levels in 2025. This rebound reflects trader consensus on near-term operational improvements via workovers and re-engagement by international oil companies, though reaching materially higher thresholds would require $10–20 billion in sustained capital to address infrastructure decay and boost volumes toward 1.4–1.5 million bpd. Key catalysts ahead include royalty cap implementations and new licensing rounds, balanced against execution risks and historical base rates for rapid recovery in sanctioned producers.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$182,397শেষ তারিখ
Feb 28, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. policy shifts following the January 2026 removal of Nicolás Maduro, including eased sanctions and expanded licenses for foreign deals, have driven Venezuelan crude output higher to approximately 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day as of July 2026, up from sub-1 million levels in 2025. This rebound reflects trader consensus on near-term operational improvements via workovers and re-engagement by international oil companies, though reaching materially higher thresholds would require $10–20 billion in sustained capital to address infrastructure decay and boost volumes toward 1.4–1.5 million bpd. Key catalysts ahead include royalty cap implementations and new licensing rounds, balanced against execution risks and historical base rates for rapid recovery in sanctioned producers.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
ভলিউম
$182,397শেষ তারিখ
Feb 28, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. policy shifts following the January 2026 removal of Nicolás Maduro, including eased sanctions and expanded licenses for foreign deals, have driven Venezuelan crude output higher to approximately 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day as of July 2026, up from sub-1 million levels in 2025. This rebound reflects trader consensus on near-term operational improvements via workovers and re-engagement by international oil companies, though reaching materially higher thresholds would require $10–20 billion in sustained capital to address infrastructure decay and boost volumes toward 1.4–1.5 million bpd. Key catalysts ahead include royalty cap implementations and new licensing rounds, balanced against execution risks and historical base rates for rapid recovery in sanctioned producers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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