Traders assign a 96.7% probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting broad consensus that an incumbent president in his second term faces few structural pressures to step down absent major unforeseen events. Key drivers include Trump's established political style of resisting external pressure, strong party alignment in Congress, and the absence of confirmed health, legal, or scandal-related developments that historically prompt early exits. Resignation markets of this type typically move only with verifiable triggers such as sudden medical incapacity, credible impeachment momentum, or explicit public statements. Remaining scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid deterioration in personal health, a major bipartisan crisis forcing a negotiated departure, or unexpected legal outcomes tied to ongoing cases, though none currently register as near-term catalysts in trader assessments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3% সম্ভাবনা
$23,403 Vol.
$23,403 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% সম্ভাবনা
$23,403 Vol.
$23,403 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.7% probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting broad consensus that an incumbent president in his second term faces few structural pressures to step down absent major unforeseen events. Key drivers include Trump's established political style of resisting external pressure, strong party alignment in Congress, and the absence of confirmed health, legal, or scandal-related developments that historically prompt early exits. Resignation markets of this type typically move only with verifiable triggers such as sudden medical incapacity, credible impeachment momentum, or explicit public statements. Remaining scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid deterioration in personal health, a major bipartisan crisis forcing a negotiated departure, or unexpected legal outcomes tied to ongoing cases, though none currently register as near-term catalysts in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
ভলিউম
$23,403শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.7% probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting broad consensus that an incumbent president in his second term faces few structural pressures to step down absent major unforeseen events. Key drivers include Trump's established political style of resisting external pressure, strong party alignment in Congress, and the absence of confirmed health, legal, or scandal-related developments that historically prompt early exits. Resignation markets of this type typically move only with verifiable triggers such as sudden medical incapacity, credible impeachment momentum, or explicit public statements. Remaining scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid deterioration in personal health, a major bipartisan crisis forcing a negotiated departure, or unexpected legal outcomes tied to ongoing cases, though none currently register as near-term catalysts in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$23,403শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.7% probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting broad consensus that an incumbent president in his second term faces few structural pressures to step down absent major unforeseen events. Key drivers include Trump's established political style of resisting external pressure, strong party alignment in Congress, and the absence of confirmed health, legal, or scandal-related developments that historically prompt early exits. Resignation markets of this type typically move only with verifiable triggers such as sudden medical incapacity, credible impeachment momentum, or explicit public statements. Remaining scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid deterioration in personal health, a major bipartisan crisis forcing a negotiated departure, or unexpected legal outcomes tied to ongoing cases, though none currently register as near-term catalysts in trader assessments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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