Recent sightings of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs in mid-May, just weeks after the GPT-5.5 release in late April, have positioned the June 22–28 window as the market favorite at 51.5 percent. Traders view the rapid iteration cycle, combined with confirmed internal testing and a large context window in development, as evidence that OpenAI is accelerating toward a public rollout before month-end. The 26.7 percent probability assigned to “not released by June 28” reflects standard OpenAI caution around final safety evaluations and staged API availability, while the lower odds on earlier June dates capture the absence of an official announcement or system card as of June 11. Upcoming developer conferences and potential earnings-related updates could still shift sentiment if new information emerges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJune 22–June 28 51.5%
Not released by June 28 26.7%
June 15–June 21 15%
June 8–June 14 7.4%
$133,414 Vol.
$133,414 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
June 8–June 14
7%
June 15–June 21
15%
June 22–June 28
52%
Not released by June 28
27%
June 22–June 28 51.5%
Not released by June 28 26.7%
June 15–June 21 15%
June 8–June 14 7.4%
$133,414 Vol.
$133,414 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
June 8–June 14
$33,254 Vol.
7%
June 15–June 21
$16,826 Vol.
15%
June 22–June 28
$14,539 Vol.
52%
Not released by June 28
$26,389 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent sightings of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs in mid-May, just weeks after the GPT-5.5 release in late April, have positioned the June 22–28 window as the market favorite at 51.5 percent. Traders view the rapid iteration cycle, combined with confirmed internal testing and a large context window in development, as evidence that OpenAI is accelerating toward a public rollout before month-end. The 26.7 percent probability assigned to “not released by June 28” reflects standard OpenAI caution around final safety evaluations and staged API availability, while the lower odds on earlier June dates capture the absence of an official announcement or system card as of June 11. Upcoming developer conferences and potential earnings-related updates could still shift sentiment if new information emerges.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$133,414শেষ তারিখ
Jun 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent sightings of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs in mid-May, just weeks after the GPT-5.5 release in late April, have positioned the June 22–28 window as the market favorite at 51.5 percent. Traders view the rapid iteration cycle, combined with confirmed internal testing and a large context window in development, as evidence that OpenAI is accelerating toward a public rollout before month-end. The 26.7 percent probability assigned to “not released by June 28” reflects standard OpenAI caution around final safety evaluations and staged API availability, while the lower odds on earlier June dates capture the absence of an official announcement or system card as of June 11. Upcoming developer conferences and potential earnings-related updates could still shift sentiment if new information emerges.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$133,414শেষ তারিখ
Jun 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent sightings of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs in mid-May, just weeks after the GPT-5.5 release in late April, have positioned the June 22–28 window as the market favorite at 51.5 percent. Traders view the rapid iteration cycle, combined with confirmed internal testing and a large context window in development, as evidence that OpenAI is accelerating toward a public rollout before month-end. The 26.7 percent probability assigned to “not released by June 28” reflects standard OpenAI caution around final safety evaluations and staged API availability, while the lower odds on earlier June dates capture the absence of an official announcement or system card as of June 11. Upcoming developer conferences and potential earnings-related updates could still shift sentiment if new information emerges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা