Redistricting has transformed Texas's 9th congressional district into a Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Houston suburbs and exurban areas such as Pasadena, Baytown, and Liberty County, where Donald Trump posted a 59.5% vote share in 2024. The open seat features Republican nominee Alex Mealer, who secured the nomination in a May 2026 primary runoff and received an endorsement from Trump, against Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest as solidly Republican, reflecting the district's partisan shift and historical voting patterns. These structural and candidate developments underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80% implied probability of victory ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-09 House Election Winner
TX-09 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
16%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$6,497 Vol.
80%
Democratic Party
$3,372 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Texas's 9th congressional district into a Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Houston suburbs and exurban areas such as Pasadena, Baytown, and Liberty County, where Donald Trump posted a 59.5% vote share in 2024. The open seat features Republican nominee Alex Mealer, who secured the nomination in a May 2026 primary runoff and received an endorsement from Trump, against Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest as solidly Republican, reflecting the district's partisan shift and historical voting patterns. These structural and candidate developments underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80% implied probability of victory ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
ভলিউম
$9,869শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Texas's 9th congressional district into a Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Houston suburbs and exurban areas such as Pasadena, Baytown, and Liberty County, where Donald Trump posted a 59.5% vote share in 2024. The open seat features Republican nominee Alex Mealer, who secured the nomination in a May 2026 primary runoff and received an endorsement from Trump, against Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest as solidly Republican, reflecting the district's partisan shift and historical voting patterns. These structural and candidate developments underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80% implied probability of victory ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$9,869শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed Texas's 9th congressional district into a Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Houston suburbs and exurban areas such as Pasadena, Baytown, and Liberty County, where Donald Trump posted a 59.5% vote share in 2024. The open seat features Republican nominee Alex Mealer, who secured the nomination in a May 2026 primary runoff and received an endorsement from Trump, against Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest as solidly Republican, reflecting the district's partisan shift and historical voting patterns. These structural and candidate developments underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80% implied probability of victory ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা