In Georgia’s 8th congressional district, the May 19, 2026 primaries produced outright winners in both parties, driving the 92% trader consensus that no runoff would be required. Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faced no primary opposition and advanced automatically. On the Democratic side, Kelly Esti captured 53.5% against Justin Lucas, clearing the 50% threshold under Georgia’s majority-vote rule for primaries. The absence of additional candidates or late filing challenges left little room for a runoff scenario. With the general election set for November 3 and the district’s established partisan profile, these primary outcomes have anchored market pricing on an outright first-round result.