Recent polls show Donald Trump’s approval rating averaging in the mid-to-high 30s amid the ongoing conflict with Iran, including resumed U.S. strikes in mid-July that triggered a cycle of escalation and stalled ceasefire efforts. Public concern over military costs, casualties, and economic pressures such as inflation and energy prices has contributed to net approval reaching record lows near –27 in trackers like Economist/YouGov. With the August 21 measurement days away and multiple polls due before then, trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 37.5–38.9 range because short-term fluctuations in foreign policy signaling or economic data releases could easily shift the final figure by a point or two without altering the broader downward trajectory established over the past month.