Recent polling for Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election consistently places Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s, with the latest Demoskop survey showing 30.2% and other trackers ranging from 30.2% to 31.8%. This stability underpins trader consensus favoring the 30-33% bracket as the modal outcome. The ruling right-wing coalition trails the centre-left opposition overall, though the gap has narrowed modestly since June amid steady S performance and limited volatility in recent weeks. No major shifts from events, leadership changes, or policy announcements have altered the trend, keeping probabilities clustered around mid-30s levels for adjacent ranges while reflecting the party's position as the largest but not dominant force in a fragmented electorate.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড30-33% 47%
27-30% 38%
33%+ 36%
<27% 35%
<27%
35%
27-30%
38%
30-33%
47%
33%+
36%
30-33% 47%
27-30% 38%
33%+ 36%
<27% 35%
<27%
35%
27-30%
38%
30-33%
47%
33%+
36%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election consistently places Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s, with the latest Demoskop survey showing 30.2% and other trackers ranging from 30.2% to 31.8%. This stability underpins trader consensus favoring the 30-33% bracket as the modal outcome. The ruling right-wing coalition trails the centre-left opposition overall, though the gap has narrowed modestly since June amid steady S performance and limited volatility in recent weeks. No major shifts from events, leadership changes, or policy announcements have altered the trend, keeping probabilities clustered around mid-30s levels for adjacent ranges while reflecting the party's position as the largest but not dominant force in a fragmented electorate.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা