The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, held August 11, 2026, narrowed to a contest between state Rep. Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley after endorsements from Gov. Tony Evers bolstered the latter and other candidates like Kelda Roys trailed significantly. Live results show the two separated by under 3,000 votes (roughly 0.4 percentage points) with more than 90% of ballots counted, though delayed Milwaukee absentee and other outstanding votes continue to shift the narrow lead. This produces high implied probability in the market for sub-1% margins either way, with “Other” capturing scenarios of wider gaps, different winners, or certification outcomes. Trader positioning reflects the race’s structural closeness, late-deciding urban and suburban precincts, and historical patterns of tight statewide Democratic primaries in Wisconsin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHong 0.8–1% 50%
Hong 0.4–0.6% 48%
Hong <0.2% 48%
Crowley 1.6–1.8% 48%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
27%
Hong 0.8–1%
50%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
29%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
48%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
28%
Hong <0.2%
48%
Crowley <0.2%
17%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
18%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
20%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
16%
Crowley 0.8–1%
18%
Crowley 1–1.2%
19%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
28%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
28%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
48%
Crowley 1.8–2%
1%
Crowley 2%+
26%
Hong 0.8–1% 50%
Hong 0.4–0.6% 48%
Hong <0.2% 48%
Crowley 1.6–1.8% 48%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
$64 Vol.
27%
Hong 0.8–1%
$17 Vol.
50%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
$64 Vol.
29%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
$17 Vol.
48%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
$17 Vol.
28%
Hong <0.2%
$64 Vol.
48%
Crowley <0.2%
$116 Vol.
17%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$191 Vol.
18%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$64 Vol.
20%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$64 Vol.
16%
Crowley 0.8–1%
$81 Vol.
18%
Crowley 1–1.2%
$81 Vol.
19%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$17 Vol.
28%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$64 Vol.
28%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$64 Vol.
48%
Crowley 1.8–2%
$64 Vol.
1%
Crowley 2%+
$37 Vol.
26%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, held August 11, 2026, narrowed to a contest between state Rep. Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley after endorsements from Gov. Tony Evers bolstered the latter and other candidates like Kelda Roys trailed significantly. Live results show the two separated by under 3,000 votes (roughly 0.4 percentage points) with more than 90% of ballots counted, though delayed Milwaukee absentee and other outstanding votes continue to shift the narrow lead. This produces high implied probability in the market for sub-1% margins either way, with “Other” capturing scenarios of wider gaps, different winners, or certification outcomes. Trader positioning reflects the race’s structural closeness, late-deciding urban and suburban precincts, and historical patterns of tight statewide Democratic primaries in Wisconsin.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,086শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, held August 11, 2026, narrowed to a contest between state Rep. Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley after endorsements from Gov. Tony Evers bolstered the latter and other candidates like Kelda Roys trailed significantly. Live results show the two separated by under 3,000 votes (roughly 0.4 percentage points) with more than 90% of ballots counted, though delayed Milwaukee absentee and other outstanding votes continue to shift the narrow lead. This produces high implied probability in the market for sub-1% margins either way, with “Other” capturing scenarios of wider gaps, different winners, or certification outcomes. Trader positioning reflects the race’s structural closeness, late-deciding urban and suburban precincts, and historical patterns of tight statewide Democratic primaries in Wisconsin.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ভলিউম
$1,086শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, held August 11, 2026, narrowed to a contest between state Rep. Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley after endorsements from Gov. Tony Evers bolstered the latter and other candidates like Kelda Roys trailed significantly. Live results show the two separated by under 3,000 votes (roughly 0.4 percentage points) with more than 90% of ballots counted, though delayed Milwaukee absentee and other outstanding votes continue to shift the narrow lead. This produces high implied probability in the market for sub-1% margins either way, with “Other” capturing scenarios of wider gaps, different winners, or certification outcomes. Trader positioning reflects the race’s structural closeness, late-deciding urban and suburban precincts, and historical patterns of tight statewide Democratic primaries in Wisconsin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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