Russia's political system remains firmly consolidated under President Vladimir Putin, with no verifiable signs of an organized coup attempt or elite fracture emerging through mid-August 2026. Earlier European intelligence reports from March–May highlighted heightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over military influence, including former defense minister Sergei Shoigu's retained networks, yet these measures produced no subsequent public disruptions or confirmed plots. Ongoing focus on the Ukraine conflict, stable approval ratings, and centralized control over security services and United Russia have reinforced institutional continuity. Traders price the low probability of a 2026 coup attempt at 93.5% for No, reflecting the absence of recent developments that would indicate shifting power dynamics or successful challenges to the existing order.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড7% সম্ভাবনা
$126,094 Vol.
$126,094 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% সম্ভাবনা
$126,094 Vol.
$126,094 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system remains firmly consolidated under President Vladimir Putin, with no verifiable signs of an organized coup attempt or elite fracture emerging through mid-August 2026. Earlier European intelligence reports from March–May highlighted heightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over military influence, including former defense minister Sergei Shoigu's retained networks, yet these measures produced no subsequent public disruptions or confirmed plots. Ongoing focus on the Ukraine conflict, stable approval ratings, and centralized control over security services and United Russia have reinforced institutional continuity. Traders price the low probability of a 2026 coup attempt at 93.5% for No, reflecting the absence of recent developments that would indicate shifting power dynamics or successful challenges to the existing order.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
ভলিউম
$126,094শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system remains firmly consolidated under President Vladimir Putin, with no verifiable signs of an organized coup attempt or elite fracture emerging through mid-August 2026. Earlier European intelligence reports from March–May highlighted heightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over military influence, including former defense minister Sergei Shoigu's retained networks, yet these measures produced no subsequent public disruptions or confirmed plots. Ongoing focus on the Ukraine conflict, stable approval ratings, and centralized control over security services and United Russia have reinforced institutional continuity. Traders price the low probability of a 2026 coup attempt at 93.5% for No, reflecting the absence of recent developments that would indicate shifting power dynamics or successful challenges to the existing order.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$126,094শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's political system remains firmly consolidated under President Vladimir Putin, with no verifiable signs of an organized coup attempt or elite fracture emerging through mid-August 2026. Earlier European intelligence reports from March–May highlighted heightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over military influence, including former defense minister Sergei Shoigu's retained networks, yet these measures produced no subsequent public disruptions or confirmed plots. Ongoing focus on the Ukraine conflict, stable approval ratings, and centralized control over security services and United Russia have reinforced institutional continuity. Traders price the low probability of a 2026 coup attempt at 93.5% for No, reflecting the absence of recent developments that would indicate shifting power dynamics or successful challenges to the existing order.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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