Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor below-average precipitation for the Northeast in early September amid a developing El Niño, which typically suppresses rainfall through warmer, more stable atmospheric patterns. Historical Central Park data show a 4.31-inch climatological average with high variability driven by frontal passages and occasional tropical moisture. Ensemble models currently indicate moderate rainfall events rather than extremes, yet trader odds cluster tightly around 3–5 inches while assigning notable probability to >6 inches, reflecting uncertainty in late-month steering patterns and storm tracks. Updated monthly outlooks and any strengthening El Niño signals will likely refine these market-implied ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPrecipitation in NYC in September?
Precipitation in NYC in September?
3-4" 23%
>6" 22%
4-5" 20%
2-3" 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
8%
2-3"
19%
3-4"
23%
4-5"
20%
5-6"
14%
>6"
22%
3-4" 23%
>6" 22%
4-5" 20%
2-3" 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
$441 Vol.
8%
2-3"
$0 Vol.
19%
3-4"
$50 Vol.
23%
4-5"
$0 Vol.
20%
5-6"
$20 Vol.
14%
>6"
$60 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor below-average precipitation for the Northeast in early September amid a developing El Niño, which typically suppresses rainfall through warmer, more stable atmospheric patterns. Historical Central Park data show a 4.31-inch climatological average with high variability driven by frontal passages and occasional tropical moisture. Ensemble models currently indicate moderate rainfall events rather than extremes, yet trader odds cluster tightly around 3–5 inches while assigning notable probability to >6 inches, reflecting uncertainty in late-month steering patterns and storm tracks. Updated monthly outlooks and any strengthening El Niño signals will likely refine these market-implied ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
ভলিউম
$571শেষ তারিখ
Oct 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor below-average precipitation for the Northeast in early September amid a developing El Niño, which typically suppresses rainfall through warmer, more stable atmospheric patterns. Historical Central Park data show a 4.31-inch climatological average with high variability driven by frontal passages and occasional tropical moisture. Ensemble models currently indicate moderate rainfall events rather than extremes, yet trader odds cluster tightly around 3–5 inches while assigning notable probability to >6 inches, reflecting uncertainty in late-month steering patterns and storm tracks. Updated monthly outlooks and any strengthening El Niño signals will likely refine these market-implied ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$571শেষ তারিখ
Oct 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor below-average precipitation for the Northeast in early September amid a developing El Niño, which typically suppresses rainfall through warmer, more stable atmospheric patterns. Historical Central Park data show a 4.31-inch climatological average with high variability driven by frontal passages and occasional tropical moisture. Ensemble models currently indicate moderate rainfall events rather than extremes, yet trader odds cluster tightly around 3–5 inches while assigning notable probability to >6 inches, reflecting uncertainty in late-month steering patterns and storm tracks. Updated monthly outlooks and any strengthening El Niño signals will likely refine these market-implied ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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