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14% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket

$42,987 Vol.

14% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket

$42,987 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case. A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid. Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's interim government under President José María Balcázar rejected former President Pedro Castillo's formal pardon request in late July 2026, with the Presidential Pardons Commission unanimously declaring it inadmissible. Justice officials subsequently described any clemency as impossible under current legal and political conditions, citing the 2025 conviction for rebellion and conspiracy that carried an 11.5-year sentence. Statements from the incoming administration, including references to existing legal resolutions and protests viewed as external pressure, have reinforced this stance. These confirmed actions and positions have shaped trader consensus, reflected in the market's pricing of a pardon this year as a low-probability outcome amid ongoing institutional constraints and scheduled government transitions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.

A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.

Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$42,987
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case. A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid. Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case. A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid. Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's interim government under President José María Balcázar rejected former President Pedro Castillo's formal pardon request in late July 2026, with the Presidential Pardons Commission unanimously declaring it inadmissible. Justice officials subsequently described any clemency as impossible under current legal and political conditions, citing the 2025 conviction for rebellion and conspiracy that carried an 11.5-year sentence. Statements from the incoming administration, including references to existing legal resolutions and protests viewed as external pressure, have reinforced this stance. These confirmed actions and positions have shaped trader consensus, reflected in the market's pricing of a pardon this year as a low-probability outcome amid ongoing institutional constraints and scheduled government transitions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.

A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.

Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$42,987
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case. A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid. Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?" হলো Polymarket-এ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটবে কিনা তার ভিত্তিতে "Yes" বা "No" শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 14%। যেমন, "Yes" 14¢-এ মূল্যায়িত হলে, মার্কেট সম্মিলিতভাবে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 14% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। ট্রেডাররা নতুন ডেভেলপমেন্ট ও তথ্যে প্রতিক্রিয়া জানালে এই অডস ক্রমাগত পরিবর্তিত হয়। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?" মোট $43K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Jun 9, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, শুধু বেছে নিন আপনি বিশ্বাস করেন উত্তর "Yes" নাকি "No"। প্রতিটি সাইডের একটি বর্তমান দাম আছে যা মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিফলিত করে। আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। যদি আপনি "Yes" শেয়ার কেনেন এবং ফলাফল "Yes" হিসেবে রেজলভ হয়, প্রতিটি শেয়ার $1 দেয়। "No" হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার $0 দেয়। রেজোলিউশনের আগে যেকোনো সময় শেয়ার বিক্রিও করতে পারেন।

"Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?"-এর বর্তমান সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 14%। মানে Polymarket ক্রাউড বর্তমানে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 14% সম্ভাবনা বিশ্বাস করে। এই অডস প্রকৃত ট্রেডের ভিত্তিতে রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।