Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a heavily favorable partisan voting index and Meeks’s consistent prior margins above 70 percent, anchors the current trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent Democratic probability. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 primary without significant opposition while maintaining substantial fundraising resources, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered the outlook, though late-cycle factors such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap in this safe seat.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-05 House Election Winner
$52,972 Vol.
$52,972 Vol.
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$52,972 Vol.
$52,972 Vol.
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a heavily favorable partisan voting index and Meeks’s consistent prior margins above 70 percent, anchors the current trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent Democratic probability. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 primary without significant opposition while maintaining substantial fundraising resources, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered the outlook, though late-cycle factors such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap in this safe seat.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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