The open seat created by Rep. Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement has intensified competition in Montana’s 1st district, a Republican-leaning seat with an R+5 partisan voting index. Aaron Flint secured the GOP nomination after winning the June primary with Trump’s endorsement, while Sam Forstag prevailed in a tight Democratic primary. A late-June internal poll showed the matchup tied at 44 percent each, highlighting candidate appeal, fundraising parity, and voter turnout potential as key variables. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party a modest edge while recognizing the district’s recent closeness in federal contests. Additional polling, campaign events, or national conditions through November could widen or narrow the gap.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
39%
Democratic Party
42%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,469 Vol.
39%
Democratic Party
$3,514 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Rep. Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement has intensified competition in Montana’s 1st district, a Republican-leaning seat with an R+5 partisan voting index. Aaron Flint secured the GOP nomination after winning the June primary with Trump’s endorsement, while Sam Forstag prevailed in a tight Democratic primary. A late-June internal poll showed the matchup tied at 44 percent each, highlighting candidate appeal, fundraising parity, and voter turnout potential as key variables. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party a modest edge while recognizing the district’s recent closeness in federal contests. Additional polling, campaign events, or national conditions through November could widen or narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,983শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Rep. Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement has intensified competition in Montana’s 1st district, a Republican-leaning seat with an R+5 partisan voting index. Aaron Flint secured the GOP nomination after winning the June primary with Trump’s endorsement, while Sam Forstag prevailed in a tight Democratic primary. A late-June internal poll showed the matchup tied at 44 percent each, highlighting candidate appeal, fundraising parity, and voter turnout potential as key variables. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party a modest edge while recognizing the district’s recent closeness in federal contests. Additional polling, campaign events, or national conditions through November could widen or narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$8,983শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Rep. Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement has intensified competition in Montana’s 1st district, a Republican-leaning seat with an R+5 partisan voting index. Aaron Flint secured the GOP nomination after winning the June primary with Trump’s endorsement, while Sam Forstag prevailed in a tight Democratic primary. A late-June internal poll showed the matchup tied at 44 percent each, highlighting candidate appeal, fundraising parity, and voter turnout potential as key variables. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party a modest edge while recognizing the district’s recent closeness in federal contests. Additional polling, campaign events, or national conditions through November could widen or narrow the gap.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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