Rafael López Aliaga leads the Lima mayoral market at 75.9% implied probability due to his strong name recognition as the outgoing mayor and Renovación Popular’s dominant position in recent Lima voting. His list, initially headed by Luis Rubio before the latter’s August resignation, positions Aliaga as first regidor, allowing him to assume the mayoralty if the ticket prevails on October 4 despite constitutional limits on immediate re-election. Recent early September polls show his support in the 20-38% range, well ahead of Carlos Bruce at 20.6% and lower-polling contenders such as Daniel Urresti, Francis Allison, and Ricardo Belmont. The Jurado Nacional de Elecciones confirmed Aliaga’s candidacy in early September after resolving challenges, reinforcing trader expectations of a Renovación Popular victory based on the party’s prior results and current polling trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRafael López Aliaga 75.6%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 20.8%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 2.9%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.8%
$152,606 Vol.
$152,606 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
76%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
21%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
3%
Francis James Allison Oyague
3%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 75.6%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 20.8%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 2.9%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.8%
$152,606 Vol.
$152,606 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
76%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
21%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
3%
Francis James Allison Oyague
3%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Rafael López Aliaga leads the Lima mayoral market at 75.9% implied probability due to his strong name recognition as the outgoing mayor and Renovación Popular’s dominant position in recent Lima voting. His list, initially headed by Luis Rubio before the latter’s August resignation, positions Aliaga as first regidor, allowing him to assume the mayoralty if the ticket prevails on October 4 despite constitutional limits on immediate re-election. Recent early September polls show his support in the 20-38% range, well ahead of Carlos Bruce at 20.6% and lower-polling contenders such as Daniel Urresti, Francis Allison, and Ricardo Belmont. The Jurado Nacional de Elecciones confirmed Aliaga’s candidacy in early September after resolving challenges, reinforcing trader expectations of a Renovación Popular victory based on the party’s prior results and current polling trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা