Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow opposition lead in bloc vote share and seat projections, with exit polls showing the Red-Green parties at 51.3% versus 46.8–47% for the Tidö parties. Pre-election polling had narrowed from double-digit opposition advantages earlier in the summer, driven by modest gains for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats alongside slight declines for the Social Democrats. The final margin now hinges on remaining postal, overseas, and late advance ballots still being counted by the Election Authority, which have already shifted projections by several seats. This uncertainty sustains tight probabilities around small opposition edges while keeping larger margins or any Tidö advantage priced as low-probability tail outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpposition by 3–4 54%
Opposition by 1–2 43%
Tidö by 1–2 2.8%
Opposition by 7+ 2.6%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
Opposition by 7+
3%
Opposition by 5–6
1%
Opposition by 3–4
54%
Opposition by 1–2
43%
Tidö by 1–2
3%
Tidö by 3–4
2%
Tidö by 5+
1%
Opposition by 3–4 54%
Opposition by 1–2 43%
Tidö by 1–2 2.8%
Opposition by 7+ 2.6%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
Opposition by 7+
$397 Vol.
3%
Opposition by 5–6
$402 Vol.
1%
Opposition by 3–4
$60 Vol.
54%
Opposition by 1–2
$350 Vol.
43%
Tidö by 1–2
$180 Vol.
3%
Tidö by 3–4
$397 Vol.
2%
Tidö by 5+
$402 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow opposition lead in bloc vote share and seat projections, with exit polls showing the Red-Green parties at 51.3% versus 46.8–47% for the Tidö parties. Pre-election polling had narrowed from double-digit opposition advantages earlier in the summer, driven by modest gains for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats alongside slight declines for the Social Democrats. The final margin now hinges on remaining postal, overseas, and late advance ballots still being counted by the Election Authority, which have already shifted projections by several seats. This uncertainty sustains tight probabilities around small opposition edges while keeping larger margins or any Tidö advantage priced as low-probability tail outcomes.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,188শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow opposition lead in bloc vote share and seat projections, with exit polls showing the Red-Green parties at 51.3% versus 46.8–47% for the Tidö parties. Pre-election polling had narrowed from double-digit opposition advantages earlier in the summer, driven by modest gains for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats alongside slight declines for the Social Democrats. The final margin now hinges on remaining postal, overseas, and late advance ballots still being counted by the Election Authority, which have already shifted projections by several seats. This uncertainty sustains tight probabilities around small opposition edges while keeping larger margins or any Tidö advantage priced as low-probability tail outcomes.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
ভলিউম
$2,188শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow opposition lead in bloc vote share and seat projections, with exit polls showing the Red-Green parties at 51.3% versus 46.8–47% for the Tidö parties. Pre-election polling had narrowed from double-digit opposition advantages earlier in the summer, driven by modest gains for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats alongside slight declines for the Social Democrats. The final margin now hinges on remaining postal, overseas, and late advance ballots still being counted by the Election Authority, which have already shifted projections by several seats. This uncertainty sustains tight probabilities around small opposition edges while keeping larger margins or any Tidö advantage priced as low-probability tail outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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