Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured the GOP nomination in Missouri's 3rd congressional district primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challenger John Fraser with 66 percent of the vote and advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her party's primary. The district, encompassing St. Charles County and parts of central Missouri, has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Onder's 2024 victory by over 22 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 91 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration. A national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in suburban areas, or late developments in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$21,150 Vol.
$21,150 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$21,150 Vol.
$21,150 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,172 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$14,978 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured the GOP nomination in Missouri's 3rd congressional district primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challenger John Fraser with 66 percent of the vote and advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her party's primary. The district, encompassing St. Charles County and parts of central Missouri, has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Onder's 2024 victory by over 22 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 91 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration. A national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in suburban areas, or late developments in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$21,150শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured the GOP nomination in Missouri's 3rd congressional district primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challenger John Fraser with 66 percent of the vote and advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her party's primary. The district, encompassing St. Charles County and parts of central Missouri, has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Onder's 2024 victory by over 22 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 91 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration. A national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in suburban areas, or late developments in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$21,150শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured the GOP nomination in Missouri's 3rd congressional district primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challenger John Fraser with 66 percent of the vote and advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her party's primary. The district, encompassing St. Charles County and parts of central Missouri, has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Onder's 2024 victory by over 22 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 91 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration. A national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in suburban areas, or late developments in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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