Maryland's 4th congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan composition, reflected in Kamala Harris's 26-point margin there in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+39. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured the nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a dominant Democratic outcome. Late developments capable of shifting probabilities remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment of historic scale.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$46,270 Vol.
$46,270 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$46,270 Vol.
$46,270 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,850 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$25,421 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan composition, reflected in Kamala Harris's 26-point margin there in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+39. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured the nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a dominant Democratic outcome. Late developments capable of shifting probabilities remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment of historic scale.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$46,270শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan composition, reflected in Kamala Harris's 26-point margin there in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+39. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured the nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a dominant Democratic outcome. Late developments capable of shifting probabilities remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment of historic scale.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$46,270শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan composition, reflected in Kamala Harris's 26-point margin there in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+39. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured the nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a dominant Democratic outcome. Late developments capable of shifting probabilities remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment of historic scale.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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