Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in the October 4, 2026 Maranhão Senate election, reflecting their incumbency advantages and established voter bases amid a crowded field of eleven registered candidates. Recent polls, including Ippi and Real Time Big Data surveys from July and August, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading for first while the second spot remains fragmented among Rocha, Gama, André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), with technical ties in combined first-and-second vote scenarios. Trader consensus in the prediction market mirrors these dynamics, pricing the contest tightly due to low name recognition for several challengers and the two-seat structure. Upcoming campaign events through September could shift positioning before ballots are cast.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Roseana Sarney 37%
Raimundo Moreira 29%
Wilson Leite 28%
Simplício Araújo 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
37%
Raimundo Moreira
29%
Wilson Leite
28%
Simplício Araújo
27%
Fufuca
24%
Cidônio Gonçalves
23%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
23%
Weverton Rocha
23%
Eliziane Gama
22%
Enilton Rodrigues
22%
Lahesio Bonfim
21%
Roseana Sarney 37%
Raimundo Moreira 29%
Wilson Leite 28%
Simplício Araújo 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$0 Vol.
37%
Raimundo Moreira
$0 Vol.
29%
Wilson Leite
$0 Vol.
28%
Simplício Araújo
$0 Vol.
27%
Fufuca
$0 Vol.
24%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$0 Vol.
23%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$0 Vol.
23%
Weverton Rocha
$0 Vol.
23%
Eliziane Gama
$0 Vol.
22%
Enilton Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
22%
Lahesio Bonfim
$0 Vol.
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in the October 4, 2026 Maranhão Senate election, reflecting their incumbency advantages and established voter bases amid a crowded field of eleven registered candidates. Recent polls, including Ippi and Real Time Big Data surveys from July and August, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading for first while the second spot remains fragmented among Rocha, Gama, André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), with technical ties in combined first-and-second vote scenarios. Trader consensus in the prediction market mirrors these dynamics, pricing the contest tightly due to low name recognition for several challengers and the two-seat structure. Upcoming campaign events through September could shift positioning before ballots are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in the October 4, 2026 Maranhão Senate election, reflecting their incumbency advantages and established voter bases amid a crowded field of eleven registered candidates. Recent polls, including Ippi and Real Time Big Data surveys from July and August, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading for first while the second spot remains fragmented among Rocha, Gama, André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), with technical ties in combined first-and-second vote scenarios. Trader consensus in the prediction market mirrors these dynamics, pricing the contest tightly due to low name recognition for several challengers and the two-seat structure. Upcoming campaign events through September could shift positioning before ballots are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in the October 4, 2026 Maranhão Senate election, reflecting their incumbency advantages and established voter bases amid a crowded field of eleven registered candidates. Recent polls, including Ippi and Real Time Big Data surveys from July and August, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading for first while the second spot remains fragmented among Rocha, Gama, André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), with technical ties in combined first-and-second vote scenarios. Trader consensus in the prediction market mirrors these dynamics, pricing the contest tightly due to low name recognition for several challengers and the two-seat structure. Upcoming campaign events through September could shift positioning before ballots are cast.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা