Recent European model guidance, including ECMWF runs, points to overnight lows near 18–19 °C in Paris on August 12 amid a persistent warm spell driven by southerly flow and high pressure. This underpins the near-even trader split between those two outcomes, with 18 °C holding a slight edge. Key variables include the precise timing of any cloud cover or light winds that could limit radiational cooling, plus the urban heat-island effect that often raises minimum readings in central Paris relative to rural stations. Météo-France updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on August 12?
18°C 41%
19°C 38%
17°C 11%
22°C 6%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
6%
17°C
11%
18°C
41%
19°C
38%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 41%
19°C 38%
17°C 11%
22°C 6%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
6%
17°C
11%
18°C
41%
19°C
38%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model guidance, including ECMWF runs, points to overnight lows near 18–19 °C in Paris on August 12 amid a persistent warm spell driven by southerly flow and high pressure. This underpins the near-even trader split between those two outcomes, with 18 °C holding a slight edge. Key variables include the precise timing of any cloud cover or light winds that could limit radiational cooling, plus the urban heat-island effect that often raises minimum readings in central Paris relative to rural stations. Météo-France updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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