Current forecasts from numerical models show Moscow's minimum temperature on September 18 likely falling between 8–12°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values due to ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling. Westerly flow and variable low-level cloud cover are moderating nocturnal temperature drops by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky longwave radiation loss, while dew points near 10°C and light winds around 5–10 km/h reduce the potential for sharper declines. Recent Atlantic frontal passages have maintained above-normal temperatures for mid-September, aligning with historical climatology where Moscow minima average near 8–10°C. Upcoming model runs and surface observations will refine the exact threshold as the night progresses.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 18?
8°C 98%
5°C or below 90%
7°C 90%
11°C 49%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
90%
6°C
9%
7°C
90%
8°C
98%
9°C
48%
10°C
48%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
8°C 98%
5°C or below 90%
7°C 90%
11°C 49%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
6°C
$0 Vol.
9%
7°C
$15 Vol.
90%
8°C
$25 Vol.
98%
9°C
$0 Vol.
48%
10°C
$5 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical models show Moscow's minimum temperature on September 18 likely falling between 8–12°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values due to ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling. Westerly flow and variable low-level cloud cover are moderating nocturnal temperature drops by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky longwave radiation loss, while dew points near 10°C and light winds around 5–10 km/h reduce the potential for sharper declines. Recent Atlantic frontal passages have maintained above-normal temperatures for mid-September, aligning with historical climatology where Moscow minima average near 8–10°C. Upcoming model runs and surface observations will refine the exact threshold as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$106শেষ তারিখ
Sep 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical models show Moscow's minimum temperature on September 18 likely falling between 8–12°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values due to ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling. Westerly flow and variable low-level cloud cover are moderating nocturnal temperature drops by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky longwave radiation loss, while dew points near 10°C and light winds around 5–10 km/h reduce the potential for sharper declines. Recent Atlantic frontal passages have maintained above-normal temperatures for mid-September, aligning with historical climatology where Moscow minima average near 8–10°C. Upcoming model runs and surface observations will refine the exact threshold as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$106শেষ তারিখ
Sep 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from numerical models show Moscow's minimum temperature on September 18 likely falling between 8–12°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values due to ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling. Westerly flow and variable low-level cloud cover are moderating nocturnal temperature drops by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky longwave radiation loss, while dew points near 10°C and light winds around 5–10 km/h reduce the potential for sharper declines. Recent Atlantic frontal passages have maintained above-normal temperatures for mid-September, aligning with historical climatology where Moscow minima average near 8–10°C. Upcoming model runs and surface observations will refine the exact threshold as the night progresses.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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