The Hong Kong Observatory forecast establishes the primary driver for the 90.5% market-implied probability on a 27°C minimum, projecting overnight lows of 27°C under a high-pressure ridge delivering light east-northeast winds, mostly clear skies, and only isolated late showers. Warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea limit radiative cooling, keeping readings aligned with late-September climatology where minimums typically hover near 26–27°C. Trader consensus reflects this model consensus and recent station data showing stable warm nights. A modest increase in cloud cover, a brief northeast monsoon surge, or forecast revisions from the final HKO model run could realistically shift the official Tsim Sha Tsui reading to 26°C or 28°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
27°C 91%
26°C 6%
25°C 3%
28°C <1%
নতুন
$20,992 Vol.
নতুন
$20,992 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
91%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 91%
26°C 6%
25°C 3%
28°C <1%
নতুন
$20,992 Vol.
নতুন
$20,992 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$880 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5,913 Vol.
6%
27°C
$7,652 Vol.
91%
28°C
$5,163 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,145 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast establishes the primary driver for the 90.5% market-implied probability on a 27°C minimum, projecting overnight lows of 27°C under a high-pressure ridge delivering light east-northeast winds, mostly clear skies, and only isolated late showers. Warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea limit radiative cooling, keeping readings aligned with late-September climatology where minimums typically hover near 26–27°C. Trader consensus reflects this model consensus and recent station data showing stable warm nights. A modest increase in cloud cover, a brief northeast monsoon surge, or forecast revisions from the final HKO model run could realistically shift the official Tsim Sha Tsui reading to 26°C or 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$20,992শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast establishes the primary driver for the 90.5% market-implied probability on a 27°C minimum, projecting overnight lows of 27°C under a high-pressure ridge delivering light east-northeast winds, mostly clear skies, and only isolated late showers. Warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea limit radiative cooling, keeping readings aligned with late-September climatology where minimums typically hover near 26–27°C. Trader consensus reflects this model consensus and recent station data showing stable warm nights. A modest increase in cloud cover, a brief northeast monsoon surge, or forecast revisions from the final HKO model run could realistically shift the official Tsim Sha Tsui reading to 26°C or 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$20,992শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory forecast establishes the primary driver for the 90.5% market-implied probability on a 27°C minimum, projecting overnight lows of 27°C under a high-pressure ridge delivering light east-northeast winds, mostly clear skies, and only isolated late showers. Warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea limit radiative cooling, keeping readings aligned with late-September climatology where minimums typically hover near 26–27°C. Trader consensus reflects this model consensus and recent station data showing stable warm nights. A modest increase in cloud cover, a brief northeast monsoon surge, or forecast revisions from the final HKO model run could realistically shift the official Tsim Sha Tsui reading to 26°C or 28°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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