Republican incumbent Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August 4 primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field as the general-election nominee. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and the state's consistent Republican tilt in statewide contests underpins the 79 percent Republican price. Cook Political Report classifies the race as Likely Republican, consistent with historical base rates for incumbents in deeply red states. Hamilton's fundraising and visibility as a prominent pastor have narrowed the gap somewhat in early internal polling, yet structural headwinds—including turnout patterns and rural voter preferences—continue to favor Marshall ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while allowing modest room for movement from national conditions or late-cycle developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$43,167 Vol.
$43,167 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
79%
Democrat
19%
$43,167 Vol.
$43,167 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$27,862 Vol.
79%
Democrat
$15,305 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August 4 primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field as the general-election nominee. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and the state's consistent Republican tilt in statewide contests underpins the 79 percent Republican price. Cook Political Report classifies the race as Likely Republican, consistent with historical base rates for incumbents in deeply red states. Hamilton's fundraising and visibility as a prominent pastor have narrowed the gap somewhat in early internal polling, yet structural headwinds—including turnout patterns and rural voter preferences—continue to favor Marshall ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while allowing modest room for movement from national conditions or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$43,167শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August 4 primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field as the general-election nominee. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and the state's consistent Republican tilt in statewide contests underpins the 79 percent Republican price. Cook Political Report classifies the race as Likely Republican, consistent with historical base rates for incumbents in deeply red states. Hamilton's fundraising and visibility as a prominent pastor have narrowed the gap somewhat in early internal polling, yet structural headwinds—including turnout patterns and rural voter preferences—continue to favor Marshall ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while allowing modest room for movement from national conditions or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$43,167শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August 4 primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field as the general-election nominee. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and the state's consistent Republican tilt in statewide contests underpins the 79 percent Republican price. Cook Political Report classifies the race as Likely Republican, consistent with historical base rates for incumbents in deeply red states. Hamilton's fundraising and visibility as a prominent pastor have narrowed the gap somewhat in early internal polling, yet structural headwinds—including turnout patterns and rural voter preferences—continue to favor Marshall ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while allowing modest room for movement from national conditions or late-cycle developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা