Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position of Supreme Leader following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts formalizing his selection in March amid an interim council and wartime disruptions. Recent trader sentiment reflects low near-term change probabilities, as President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly affirmed Khamenei’s health after an August 2026 meeting, while the IRGC and senior officials have consolidated influence through new military appointments and a collective security apparatus. Economic pressures, including sharp food price rises, and ongoing U.S. ceasefire negotiations introduce uncertainty, yet institutional continuity and the absence of major internal challenges or scheduled votes keep implied odds of leadership transition modest through year-end and into 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$24,057,007 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
August 31
<1%
September 30
3%
October 31
7%
November 30
10%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
16%
June 30, 2027
25%
$24,057,007 Vol.
August 31
$1,461,694 Vol.
<1%
September 30
$490,857 Vol.
3%
October 31
$26,233 Vol.
7%
November 30
$18,839 Vol.
10%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
$4,120,003 Vol.
16%
June 30, 2027
$251,699 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position of Supreme Leader following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts formalizing his selection in March amid an interim council and wartime disruptions. Recent trader sentiment reflects low near-term change probabilities, as President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly affirmed Khamenei’s health after an August 2026 meeting, while the IRGC and senior officials have consolidated influence through new military appointments and a collective security apparatus. Economic pressures, including sharp food price rises, and ongoing U.S. ceasefire negotiations introduce uncertainty, yet institutional continuity and the absence of major internal challenges or scheduled votes keep implied odds of leadership transition modest through year-end and into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
ভলিউম
$24,057,007শেষ তারিখ
Jul 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position of Supreme Leader following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts formalizing his selection in March amid an interim council and wartime disruptions. Recent trader sentiment reflects low near-term change probabilities, as President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly affirmed Khamenei’s health after an August 2026 meeting, while the IRGC and senior officials have consolidated influence through new military appointments and a collective security apparatus. Economic pressures, including sharp food price rises, and ongoing U.S. ceasefire negotiations introduce uncertainty, yet institutional continuity and the absence of major internal challenges or scheduled votes keep implied odds of leadership transition modest through year-end and into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$24,057,007শেষ তারিখ
Jul 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position of Supreme Leader following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts formalizing his selection in March amid an interim council and wartime disruptions. Recent trader sentiment reflects low near-term change probabilities, as President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly affirmed Khamenei’s health after an August 2026 meeting, while the IRGC and senior officials have consolidated influence through new military appointments and a collective security apparatus. Economic pressures, including sharp food price rises, and ongoing U.S. ceasefire negotiations introduce uncertainty, yet institutional continuity and the absence of major internal challenges or scheduled votes keep implied odds of leadership transition modest through year-end and into 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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