NASA's Artemis program has shifted its first crewed lunar landing to Artemis IV in 2028 after completing only a flyby with Artemis II's successful April 2026 Orion flight aboard the SLS rocket. No commercial or international provider has announced a viable 2026 surface attempt, and the remaining months in the year preclude integration of untested human landing systems or additional deep-space demonstrations. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these verified timeline adjustments and hardware maturation needs, though an unforeseen private-sector breakthrough or accelerated regulatory approval could theoretically compress schedules despite historical delays in crewed lunar operations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
<1% সম্ভাবনা
$1,967,488 Vol.
$1,967,488 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
<1% সম্ভাবনা
$1,967,488 Vol.
$1,967,488 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.NASA's Artemis program has shifted its first crewed lunar landing to Artemis IV in 2028 after completing only a flyby with Artemis II's successful April 2026 Orion flight aboard the SLS rocket. No commercial or international provider has announced a viable 2026 surface attempt, and the remaining months in the year preclude integration of untested human landing systems or additional deep-space demonstrations. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these verified timeline adjustments and hardware maturation needs, though an unforeseen private-sector breakthrough or accelerated regulatory approval could theoretically compress schedules despite historical delays in crewed lunar operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,967,488শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.NASA's Artemis program has shifted its first crewed lunar landing to Artemis IV in 2028 after completing only a flyby with Artemis II's successful April 2026 Orion flight aboard the SLS rocket. No commercial or international provider has announced a viable 2026 surface attempt, and the remaining months in the year preclude integration of untested human landing systems or additional deep-space demonstrations. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these verified timeline adjustments and hardware maturation needs, though an unforeseen private-sector breakthrough or accelerated regulatory approval could theoretically compress schedules despite historical delays in crewed lunar operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$1,967,488শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NASA's Artemis program has shifted its first crewed lunar landing to Artemis IV in 2028 after completing only a flyby with Artemis II's successful April 2026 Orion flight aboard the SLS rocket. No commercial or international provider has announced a viable 2026 surface attempt, and the remaining months in the year preclude integration of untested human landing systems or additional deep-space demonstrations. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these verified timeline adjustments and hardware maturation needs, though an unforeseen private-sector breakthrough or accelerated regulatory approval could theoretically compress schedules despite historical delays in crewed lunar operations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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