Early August 2026 has produced limited confirmed tornadoes, consistent with climatological norms where activity drops sharply after the spring peak as instability weakens and steering patterns shift. NOAA and Storm Prediction Center data show no major outbreaks through the first week, with isolated reports tied to weak thunderstorms rather than organized severe weather. Traders appear to weigh typical monthly totals near 80–120 against variables like potential tropical moisture contributions or brief convective surges, creating tight spreads across the 60–139 range. Upcoming SPC outlooks and any late-month landfalling systems will likely refine resolution odds as the period closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
120–139 44%
40–59 16%
140-169 5%
200+ 4.4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 1, 2026
<40
43%
40–59
12%
60-79
43%
80-99
46%
100–119
44%
120–139
44%
140-169
5%
170–199
42%
200+
4%
120–139 44%
40–59 16%
140-169 5%
200+ 4.4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 1, 2026
<40
$103 Vol.
43%
40–59
$85 Vol.
12%
60-79
$60 Vol.
43%
80-99
$52 Vol.
46%
100–119
$52 Vol.
44%
120–139
$52 Vol.
44%
140-169
$52 Vol.
5%
170–199
$14 Vol.
42%
200+
$205 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Early August 2026 has produced limited confirmed tornadoes, consistent with climatological norms where activity drops sharply after the spring peak as instability weakens and steering patterns shift. NOAA and Storm Prediction Center data show no major outbreaks through the first week, with isolated reports tied to weak thunderstorms rather than organized severe weather. Traders appear to weigh typical monthly totals near 80–120 against variables like potential tropical moisture contributions or brief convective surges, creating tight spreads across the 60–139 range. Upcoming SPC outlooks and any late-month landfalling systems will likely refine resolution odds as the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
ভলিউম
$677শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Early August 2026 has produced limited confirmed tornadoes, consistent with climatological norms where activity drops sharply after the spring peak as instability weakens and steering patterns shift. NOAA and Storm Prediction Center data show no major outbreaks through the first week, with isolated reports tied to weak thunderstorms rather than organized severe weather. Traders appear to weigh typical monthly totals near 80–120 against variables like potential tropical moisture contributions or brief convective surges, creating tight spreads across the 60–139 range. Upcoming SPC outlooks and any late-month landfalling systems will likely refine resolution odds as the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
ভলিউম
$677শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early August 2026 has produced limited confirmed tornadoes, consistent with climatological norms where activity drops sharply after the spring peak as instability weakens and steering patterns shift. NOAA and Storm Prediction Center data show no major outbreaks through the first week, with isolated reports tied to weak thunderstorms rather than organized severe weather. Traders appear to weigh typical monthly totals near 80–120 against variables like potential tropical moisture contributions or brief convective surges, creating tight spreads across the 60–139 range. Upcoming SPC outlooks and any late-month landfalling systems will likely refine resolution odds as the period closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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