Recent MetService and NIWA guidance shows Wellington under a strong southerly flow of cooler maritime air on August 16, with forecast maximums centered on 8–10°C amid occasional showers and limited insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 10°C (81.5% implied probability), as ensemble runs and local observations indicate modest diurnal warming capped by persistent cloud and wind mixing. Recent polar-air outbreaks have already delivered below-average temperatures across the lower North Island, consistent with August climatology of roughly 12°C highs yet suppressed here by the current synoptic pattern. Key resolution thresholds hinge on whether any clearing allows brief northerly influence or if the southerly persists through peak heating hours; updated model cycles from MetService tomorrow morning will likely refine the final band.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
10°C 83%
11°C 15%
12°C 2%
13°C <1%
নতুন
$47,149 Vol.
নতুন
$47,149 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
83%
11°C
15%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 83%
11°C 15%
12°C 2%
13°C <1%
নতুন
$47,149 Vol.
নতুন
$47,149 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
$763 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$3,612 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$4,623 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$23,703 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$5,472 Vol.
83%
11°C
$3,788 Vol.
15%
12°C
$2,191 Vol.
2%
13°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and NIWA guidance shows Wellington under a strong southerly flow of cooler maritime air on August 16, with forecast maximums centered on 8–10°C amid occasional showers and limited insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 10°C (81.5% implied probability), as ensemble runs and local observations indicate modest diurnal warming capped by persistent cloud and wind mixing. Recent polar-air outbreaks have already delivered below-average temperatures across the lower North Island, consistent with August climatology of roughly 12°C highs yet suppressed here by the current synoptic pattern. Key resolution thresholds hinge on whether any clearing allows brief northerly influence or if the southerly persists through peak heating hours; updated model cycles from MetService tomorrow morning will likely refine the final band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$47,149শেষ তারিখ
Aug 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and NIWA guidance shows Wellington under a strong southerly flow of cooler maritime air on August 16, with forecast maximums centered on 8–10°C amid occasional showers and limited insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 10°C (81.5% implied probability), as ensemble runs and local observations indicate modest diurnal warming capped by persistent cloud and wind mixing. Recent polar-air outbreaks have already delivered below-average temperatures across the lower North Island, consistent with August climatology of roughly 12°C highs yet suppressed here by the current synoptic pattern. Key resolution thresholds hinge on whether any clearing allows brief northerly influence or if the southerly persists through peak heating hours; updated model cycles from MetService tomorrow morning will likely refine the final band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$47,149শেষ তারিখ
Aug 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and NIWA guidance shows Wellington under a strong southerly flow of cooler maritime air on August 16, with forecast maximums centered on 8–10°C amid occasional showers and limited insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 10°C (81.5% implied probability), as ensemble runs and local observations indicate modest diurnal warming capped by persistent cloud and wind mixing. Recent polar-air outbreaks have already delivered below-average temperatures across the lower North Island, consistent with August climatology of roughly 12°C highs yet suppressed here by the current synoptic pattern. Key resolution thresholds hinge on whether any clearing allows brief northerly influence or if the southerly persists through peak heating hours; updated model cycles from MetService tomorrow morning will likely refine the final band.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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