Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and AccuWeather cluster around a 24–26 °C daily maximum for Warsaw on August 21, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions explain why 26 °C leads market-implied odds at 35.5 percent, followed closely by 25 °C and 27 °C, while outcomes above 28 °C remain low-probability given the modest thermal setup. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, yet the current pattern shows slightly above-normal warmth without strong ridging. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if clearer skies allow greater insolation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
26°C 36%
25°C 24%
27°C 22%
24°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
24%
26°C
36%
27°C
22%
28°C or higher
6%
26°C 36%
25°C 24%
27°C 22%
24°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
$482 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$492 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$13 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$16 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$54 Vol.
36%
27°C
$35 Vol.
22%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and AccuWeather cluster around a 24–26 °C daily maximum for Warsaw on August 21, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions explain why 26 °C leads market-implied odds at 35.5 percent, followed closely by 25 °C and 27 °C, while outcomes above 28 °C remain low-probability given the modest thermal setup. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, yet the current pattern shows slightly above-normal warmth without strong ridging. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if clearer skies allow greater insolation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,389শেষ তারিখ
Aug 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and AccuWeather cluster around a 24–26 °C daily maximum for Warsaw on August 21, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions explain why 26 °C leads market-implied odds at 35.5 percent, followed closely by 25 °C and 27 °C, while outcomes above 28 °C remain low-probability given the modest thermal setup. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, yet the current pattern shows slightly above-normal warmth without strong ridging. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if clearer skies allow greater insolation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,389শেষ তারিখ
Aug 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and AccuWeather cluster around a 24–26 °C daily maximum for Warsaw on August 21, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions explain why 26 °C leads market-implied odds at 35.5 percent, followed closely by 25 °C and 27 °C, while outcomes above 28 °C remain low-probability given the modest thermal setup. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, yet the current pattern shows slightly above-normal warmth without strong ridging. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if clearer skies allow greater insolation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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