The return of the marine layer and strengthened onshore flow after San Francisco’s record-breaking heat wave (94°F on September 9) is the main driver pulling market-implied odds toward 70–73°F for September 11. National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models now project highs in the mid-60s to low 70s as cooler Pacific air replaces the suppressed high-pressure ridge, with breezy southwest winds limiting afternoon warming. Microclimate differences between the airport, downtown, and hills add modest uncertainty, but the overall pattern favors seasonal norms near 70–71°F. Traders are assigning roughly 60% combined probability to the 70–73°F bins while leaving room for slight model variations in marine-layer clearance timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 11?
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
63°F or below
$546 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$65 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$68 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$954 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$1,186 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$1,186 Vol.
33%
74-75°F
$402 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$633 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$66 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$70 Vol.
3%
82°F or higher
$255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The return of the marine layer and strengthened onshore flow after San Francisco’s record-breaking heat wave (94°F on September 9) is the main driver pulling market-implied odds toward 70–73°F for September 11. National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models now project highs in the mid-60s to low 70s as cooler Pacific air replaces the suppressed high-pressure ridge, with breezy southwest winds limiting afternoon warming. Microclimate differences between the airport, downtown, and hills add modest uncertainty, but the overall pattern favors seasonal norms near 70–71°F. Traders are assigning roughly 60% combined probability to the 70–73°F bins while leaving room for slight model variations in marine-layer clearance timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$5,431শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The return of the marine layer and strengthened onshore flow after San Francisco’s record-breaking heat wave (94°F on September 9) is the main driver pulling market-implied odds toward 70–73°F for September 11. National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models now project highs in the mid-60s to low 70s as cooler Pacific air replaces the suppressed high-pressure ridge, with breezy southwest winds limiting afternoon warming. Microclimate differences between the airport, downtown, and hills add modest uncertainty, but the overall pattern favors seasonal norms near 70–71°F. Traders are assigning roughly 60% combined probability to the 70–73°F bins while leaving room for slight model variations in marine-layer clearance timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$5,431শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The return of the marine layer and strengthened onshore flow after San Francisco’s record-breaking heat wave (94°F on September 9) is the main driver pulling market-implied odds toward 70–73°F for September 11. National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models now project highs in the mid-60s to low 70s as cooler Pacific air replaces the suppressed high-pressure ridge, with breezy southwest winds limiting afternoon warming. Microclimate differences between the airport, downtown, and hills add modest uncertainty, but the overall pattern favors seasonal norms near 70–71°F. Traders are assigning roughly 60% combined probability to the 70–73°F bins while leaving room for slight model variations in marine-layer clearance timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা