Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German DWD models drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24 °C, with those two bins capturing over 70 % of probability. Under late-August conditions featuring weak pressure gradients, light easterly flow, and modest daytime insolation, maximum temperatures are expected to reach the lower-to-mid 20s Celsius at Munich’s official observation site. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle warm-air advection from the south can shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the leading outcomes. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the most recent model cycles and historical verification statistics for comparable synoptic setups.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 38%
23°C 28%
25°C 15%
22°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
28%
24°C
38%
25°C
15%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
23°C 28%
25°C 15%
22°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
28%
24°C
38%
25°C
15%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German DWD models drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24 °C, with those two bins capturing over 70 % of probability. Under late-August conditions featuring weak pressure gradients, light easterly flow, and modest daytime insolation, maximum temperatures are expected to reach the lower-to-mid 20s Celsius at Munich’s official observation site. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle warm-air advection from the south can shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the leading outcomes. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the most recent model cycles and historical verification statistics for comparable synoptic setups.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা