Flavio Bolsonaro’s August 5 announcement naming Congressman Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on the Liberal Party ticket has produced overwhelming trader consensus around Gaspar at 97.6 percent. The selection ended weeks of speculation after earlier efforts to secure broader alliances or a female candidate fell short, positioning Gaspar as a first-term lawmaker with prosecutorial experience and northeastern roots intended to appeal within the party base. Recent polling shows the presidential ticket remaining competitive against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in both rounds, yet the VP market reflects the confirmed choice rather than ongoing speculation. Resolution would shift only in the event of an unforeseen withdrawal or formal change before the October election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAlfredo Gaspar 95.2%
Michelle Bolsonaro <1%
Simone Marquetto <1%
Daniella Marques <1%
$24,110 Vol.
$24,110 Vol.
Alfredo Gaspar
95%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Clarissa Tércio
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Alfredo Gaspar 95.2%
Michelle Bolsonaro <1%
Simone Marquetto <1%
Daniella Marques <1%
$24,110 Vol.
$24,110 Vol.
Alfredo Gaspar
95%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Clarissa Tércio
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro’s August 5 announcement naming Congressman Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on the Liberal Party ticket has produced overwhelming trader consensus around Gaspar at 97.6 percent. The selection ended weeks of speculation after earlier efforts to secure broader alliances or a female candidate fell short, positioning Gaspar as a first-term lawmaker with prosecutorial experience and northeastern roots intended to appeal within the party base. Recent polling shows the presidential ticket remaining competitive against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in both rounds, yet the VP market reflects the confirmed choice rather than ongoing speculation. Resolution would shift only in the event of an unforeseen withdrawal or formal change before the October election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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