Recent polling shows a technical tie between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the first round, with runoff scenarios also tightly contested near 40 percent each. Rodrigues has maintained stable approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s, aided by gains among municipal leaders who previously backed Neto, while security and public services remain voter priorities. The race revives their 2022 contest amid shifts in national alliances, including União's break with the federal government. A recent televised debate highlighted these themes without producing decisive movement. With voting scheduled for October, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over turnout, late endorsements, and any further consolidation behind the two frontrunners.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$117,048 Vol.
$117,048 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
52%
ACM Neto
46%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$117,048 Vol.
$117,048 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$36,861 Vol.
52%
ACM Neto
$40,237 Vol.
46%
Kleber Rosa
$12,792 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$10,899 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a technical tie between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the first round, with runoff scenarios also tightly contested near 40 percent each. Rodrigues has maintained stable approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s, aided by gains among municipal leaders who previously backed Neto, while security and public services remain voter priorities. The race revives their 2022 contest amid shifts in national alliances, including União's break with the federal government. A recent televised debate highlighted these themes without producing decisive movement. With voting scheduled for October, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over turnout, late endorsements, and any further consolidation behind the two frontrunners.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ভলিউম
$117,048শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a technical tie between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the first round, with runoff scenarios also tightly contested near 40 percent each. Rodrigues has maintained stable approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s, aided by gains among municipal leaders who previously backed Neto, while security and public services remain voter priorities. The race revives their 2022 contest amid shifts in national alliances, including União's break with the federal government. A recent televised debate highlighted these themes without producing decisive movement. With voting scheduled for October, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over turnout, late endorsements, and any further consolidation behind the two frontrunners.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$117,048শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a technical tie between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the first round, with runoff scenarios also tightly contested near 40 percent each. Rodrigues has maintained stable approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s, aided by gains among municipal leaders who previously backed Neto, while security and public services remain voter priorities. The race revives their 2022 contest amid shifts in national alliances, including União's break with the federal government. A recent televised debate highlighted these themes without producing decisive movement. With voting scheduled for October, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over turnout, late endorsements, and any further consolidation behind the two frontrunners.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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