China's official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0% anchors trader expectations, reinforced by first-half GDP expansion of 4.7% year-on-year that stayed inside the range despite sequential softening. Q2 real growth eased to 4.3% amid subdued consumption and property-sector drag, offset by resilient exports in high-tech and AI-related goods. The July Politburo meeting reaffirmed expanding domestic demand as the priority, with accelerated fiscal bond issuance, infrastructure outlays, and targeted consumption measures expected to support momentum through year-end. Recent data show a K-shaped pattern—strong supply-side and external performance versus weaker internal demand—while analysts maintain full-year projections clustered near 4.4–4.7%. This consensus, reflected in the overwhelming market weighting on the 4.0–5.0% band, tracks both the government's stated objective and the balance of near-term policy support against structural headwinds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 6.3%
8.0–9.0% 1.5%
9.0%+ 1.4%
$897,539 Vol.
$897,539 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
90%
5.0–6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
1%
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 6.3%
8.0–9.0% 1.5%
9.0%+ 1.4%
$897,539 Vol.
$897,539 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
$67,675 Vol.
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$75,259 Vol.
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$45,793 Vol.
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$81,404 Vol.
1%
4.0–5.0%
$222,301 Vol.
90%
5.0–6.0%
$80,831 Vol.
6%
6.0-7.0%
$87,941 Vol.
<1%
7.0–8.0%
$65,353 Vol.
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$54,234 Vol.
1%
9.0%+
$116,748 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0% anchors trader expectations, reinforced by first-half GDP expansion of 4.7% year-on-year that stayed inside the range despite sequential softening. Q2 real growth eased to 4.3% amid subdued consumption and property-sector drag, offset by resilient exports in high-tech and AI-related goods. The July Politburo meeting reaffirmed expanding domestic demand as the priority, with accelerated fiscal bond issuance, infrastructure outlays, and targeted consumption measures expected to support momentum through year-end. Recent data show a K-shaped pattern—strong supply-side and external performance versus weaker internal demand—while analysts maintain full-year projections clustered near 4.4–4.7%. This consensus, reflected in the overwhelming market weighting on the 4.0–5.0% band, tracks both the government's stated objective and the balance of near-term policy support against structural headwinds.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$897,539শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0% anchors trader expectations, reinforced by first-half GDP expansion of 4.7% year-on-year that stayed inside the range despite sequential softening. Q2 real growth eased to 4.3% amid subdued consumption and property-sector drag, offset by resilient exports in high-tech and AI-related goods. The July Politburo meeting reaffirmed expanding domestic demand as the priority, with accelerated fiscal bond issuance, infrastructure outlays, and targeted consumption measures expected to support momentum through year-end. Recent data show a K-shaped pattern—strong supply-side and external performance versus weaker internal demand—while analysts maintain full-year projections clustered near 4.4–4.7%. This consensus, reflected in the overwhelming market weighting on the 4.0–5.0% band, tracks both the government's stated objective and the balance of near-term policy support against structural headwinds.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$897,539শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...China's official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0% anchors trader expectations, reinforced by first-half GDP expansion of 4.7% year-on-year that stayed inside the range despite sequential softening. Q2 real growth eased to 4.3% amid subdued consumption and property-sector drag, offset by resilient exports in high-tech and AI-related goods. The July Politburo meeting reaffirmed expanding domestic demand as the priority, with accelerated fiscal bond issuance, infrastructure outlays, and targeted consumption measures expected to support momentum through year-end. Recent data show a K-shaped pattern—strong supply-side and external performance versus weaker internal demand—while analysts maintain full-year projections clustered near 4.4–4.7%. This consensus, reflected in the overwhelming market weighting on the 4.0–5.0% band, tracks both the government's stated objective and the balance of near-term policy support against structural headwinds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা