Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán and Republican challenger Genevieve Angel advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 44th district, a heavily Democratic seat in South Los Angeles and the Harbor area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19 to D+20. Barragán captured roughly 77 percent in the primary, consistent with the district's strong Democratic registration advantage and historical results. Ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. With the November general election two months away, trader pricing on margin buckets and head-to-head outcomes reflects this baseline lean tempered by uncertainty over final turnout, any late national political shifts, and modest Republican mobilization potential in a low-competition environment. No major new developments have altered the standing dynamics since the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-44 House Election Margin of Victory
CA-44 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 40-45% 43%
Democrat 35-40% 43%
Democrat 25-30% 43%
Democrat 45-50% 41%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 55%+
39%
Democrat 50-55%
39%
Democrat 45-50%
41%
Democrat 40-45%
43%
Democrat 35-40%
43%
Democrat 30-35%
39%
Democrat 25-30%
43%
Democrat 15-25%
41%
Democrat 0-15%
41%
Republican Wins
36%
Democrat 40-45% 43%
Democrat 35-40% 43%
Democrat 25-30% 43%
Democrat 45-50% 41%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 55%+
$0 Vol.
39%
Democrat 50-55%
$0 Vol.
39%
Democrat 45-50%
$0 Vol.
41%
Democrat 40-45%
$0 Vol.
43%
Democrat 35-40%
$0 Vol.
43%
Democrat 30-35%
$0 Vol.
39%
Democrat 25-30%
$0 Vol.
43%
Democrat 15-25%
$0 Vol.
41%
Democrat 0-15%
$0 Vol.
41%
Republican Wins
$10 Vol.
36%
The 2026 CA-44 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-44 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán and Republican challenger Genevieve Angel advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 44th district, a heavily Democratic seat in South Los Angeles and the Harbor area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19 to D+20. Barragán captured roughly 77 percent in the primary, consistent with the district's strong Democratic registration advantage and historical results. Ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. With the November general election two months away, trader pricing on margin buckets and head-to-head outcomes reflects this baseline lean tempered by uncertainty over final turnout, any late national political shifts, and modest Republican mobilization potential in a low-competition environment. No major new developments have altered the standing dynamics since the primary.
The 2026 CA-44 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-44 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-44 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$10শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 3:41 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 CA-44 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-44 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán and Republican challenger Genevieve Angel advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 44th district, a heavily Democratic seat in South Los Angeles and the Harbor area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19 to D+20. Barragán captured roughly 77 percent in the primary, consistent with the district's strong Democratic registration advantage and historical results. Ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. With the November general election two months away, trader pricing on margin buckets and head-to-head outcomes reflects this baseline lean tempered by uncertainty over final turnout, any late national political shifts, and modest Republican mobilization potential in a low-competition environment. No major new developments have altered the standing dynamics since the primary.
The 2026 CA-44 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-44 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-44 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$10শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 3:41 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán and Republican challenger Genevieve Angel advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 44th district, a heavily Democratic seat in South Los Angeles and the Harbor area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19 to D+20. Barragán captured roughly 77 percent in the primary, consistent with the district's strong Democratic registration advantage and historical results. Ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. With the November general election two months away, trader pricing on margin buckets and head-to-head outcomes reflects this baseline lean tempered by uncertainty over final turnout, any late national political shifts, and modest Republican mobilization potential in a low-competition environment. No major new developments have altered the standing dynamics since the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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