Chris Pappas holds a clear lead in the September 8 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary as the establishment favorite with endorsements from figures including Kamala Harris and Jeanne Shaheen, along with a substantial fundraising edge over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Pappas ahead but with a narrowing gap, down to roughly 20–25 points in late August surveys after earlier double-digit advantages, driven by Manzur’s support among younger and progressive voters. Multiple lesser-known candidates further fragment the field. These dynamics, combined with the primary’s proximity, underpin trader emphasis on a Pappas victory while spreading probability across listed victory margins and elevating “Other” as the top outcome amid uncertainty over the final spread.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPappas 30–35% 33%
Pappas 0–5% 22%
Pappas 15–20% 21%
Pappas 10–15% 21%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 8, 2026
Pappas 40%+
5%
Pappas 35–40%
14%
Pappas 30–35%
33%
Pappas 25–30%
10%
Pappas 20–25%
19%
Pappas 15–20%
21%
Pappas 10–15%
21%
Pappas 5–10%
13%
Pappas 0–5%
22%
Manzur 0–5%
2%
Manzur 5%+
<1%
Pappas 30–35% 33%
Pappas 0–5% 22%
Pappas 15–20% 21%
Pappas 10–15% 21%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 8, 2026
Pappas 40%+
$1,261 Vol.
5%
Pappas 35–40%
$78 Vol.
14%
Pappas 30–35%
$34 Vol.
33%
Pappas 25–30%
$163 Vol.
10%
Pappas 20–25%
$285 Vol.
19%
Pappas 15–20%
$253 Vol.
21%
Pappas 10–15%
$300 Vol.
21%
Pappas 5–10%
$128 Vol.
13%
Pappas 0–5%
$285 Vol.
22%
Manzur 0–5%
$195 Vol.
2%
Manzur 5%+
$165 Vol.
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas holds a clear lead in the September 8 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary as the establishment favorite with endorsements from figures including Kamala Harris and Jeanne Shaheen, along with a substantial fundraising edge over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Pappas ahead but with a narrowing gap, down to roughly 20–25 points in late August surveys after earlier double-digit advantages, driven by Manzur’s support among younger and progressive voters. Multiple lesser-known candidates further fragment the field. These dynamics, combined with the primary’s proximity, underpin trader emphasis on a Pappas victory while spreading probability across listed victory margins and elevating “Other” as the top outcome amid uncertainty over the final spread.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,148শেষ তারিখ
Sep 8, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas holds a clear lead in the September 8 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary as the establishment favorite with endorsements from figures including Kamala Harris and Jeanne Shaheen, along with a substantial fundraising edge over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Pappas ahead but with a narrowing gap, down to roughly 20–25 points in late August surveys after earlier double-digit advantages, driven by Manzur’s support among younger and progressive voters. Multiple lesser-known candidates further fragment the field. These dynamics, combined with the primary’s proximity, underpin trader emphasis on a Pappas victory while spreading probability across listed victory margins and elevating “Other” as the top outcome amid uncertainty over the final spread.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
ভলিউম
$3,148শেষ তারিখ
Sep 8, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Chris Pappas holds a clear lead in the September 8 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary as the establishment favorite with endorsements from figures including Kamala Harris and Jeanne Shaheen, along with a substantial fundraising edge over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Pappas ahead but with a narrowing gap, down to roughly 20–25 points in late August surveys after earlier double-digit advantages, driven by Manzur’s support among younger and progressive voters. Multiple lesser-known candidates further fragment the field. These dynamics, combined with the primary’s proximity, underpin trader emphasis on a Pappas victory while spreading probability across listed victory margins and elevating “Other” as the top outcome amid uncertainty over the final spread.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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