**Recent polling in the run-up to Berlin’s 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a fragmented contest among four parties clustered within roughly five percentage points, keeping CDU seat projections in a narrow band around the 30–39 range.** Latest surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, Civey and Forsa place the CDU at 18–21 %, the Left at 19–22 %, the AfD at 18 % and the Greens at 15–18 %, with the SPD trailing at 11–15 % and smaller parties below the five-percent threshold. This produces a competitive four-way fight for first place and leaves coalition arithmetic open to small shifts in vote share. Voter priorities center on housing costs, public safety and city maintenance, while the incumbent CDU–SPD government has faced criticism over crisis management. The CDU’s switch to Stefan Evers as lead candidate and recent modest gains in some polls have stabilized its position near the top, yet the overall field remains volatile. With the election only two weeks away, further movement in the final surveys, turnout differentials or late campaign developments among the bunched parties could alter the CDU’s exact seat total and push projections decisively toward one side of the current 35–39 versus 30–34 divide reflected in trader pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBerlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
35-39 37%
30-34 30%
40-44 20.5%
25-29 10%
$33,446 Vol.
$33,446 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<25
2%
25-29
10%
30-34
30%
35-39
37%
40-44
20%
45+
4%
35-39 37%
30-34 30%
40-44 20.5%
25-29 10%
$33,446 Vol.
$33,446 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<25
$1,171 Vol.
2%
25-29
$3,358 Vol.
10%
30-34
$1,764 Vol.
30%
35-39
$4,171 Vol.
37%
40-44
$3,341 Vol.
20%
45+
$19,641 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Recent polling in the run-up to Berlin’s 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a fragmented contest among four parties clustered within roughly five percentage points, keeping CDU seat projections in a narrow band around the 30–39 range.**
Latest surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, Civey and Forsa place the CDU at 18–21 %, the Left at 19–22 %, the AfD at 18 % and the Greens at 15–18 %, with the SPD trailing at 11–15 % and smaller parties below the five-percent threshold. This produces a competitive four-way fight for first place and leaves coalition arithmetic open to small shifts in vote share.
Voter priorities center on housing costs, public safety and city maintenance, while the incumbent CDU–SPD government has faced criticism over crisis management. The CDU’s switch to Stefan Evers as lead candidate and recent modest gains in some polls have stabilized its position near the top, yet the overall field remains volatile.
With the election only two weeks away, further movement in the final surveys, turnout differentials or late campaign developments among the bunched parties could alter the CDU’s exact seat total and push projections decisively toward one side of the current 35–39 versus 30–34 divide reflected in trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
ভলিউম
$33,446শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Recent polling in the run-up to Berlin’s 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a fragmented contest among four parties clustered within roughly five percentage points, keeping CDU seat projections in a narrow band around the 30–39 range.**
Latest surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, Civey and Forsa place the CDU at 18–21 %, the Left at 19–22 %, the AfD at 18 % and the Greens at 15–18 %, with the SPD trailing at 11–15 % and smaller parties below the five-percent threshold. This produces a competitive four-way fight for first place and leaves coalition arithmetic open to small shifts in vote share.
Voter priorities center on housing costs, public safety and city maintenance, while the incumbent CDU–SPD government has faced criticism over crisis management. The CDU’s switch to Stefan Evers as lead candidate and recent modest gains in some polls have stabilized its position near the top, yet the overall field remains volatile.
With the election only two weeks away, further movement in the final surveys, turnout differentials or late campaign developments among the bunched parties could alter the CDU’s exact seat total and push projections decisively toward one side of the current 35–39 versus 30–34 divide reflected in trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
ভলিউম
$33,446শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling in the run-up to Berlin’s 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a fragmented contest among four parties clustered within roughly five percentage points, keeping CDU seat projections in a narrow band around the 30–39 range.** Latest surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, Civey and Forsa place the CDU at 18–21 %, the Left at 19–22 %, the AfD at 18 % and the Greens at 15–18 %, with the SPD trailing at 11–15 % and smaller parties below the five-percent threshold. This produces a competitive four-way fight for first place and leaves coalition arithmetic open to small shifts in vote share. Voter priorities center on housing costs, public safety and city maintenance, while the incumbent CDU–SPD government has faced criticism over crisis management. The CDU’s switch to Stefan Evers as lead candidate and recent modest gains in some polls have stabilized its position near the top, yet the overall field remains volatile. With the election only two weeks away, further movement in the final surveys, turnout differentials or late campaign developments among the bunched parties could alter the CDU’s exact seat total and push projections decisively toward one side of the current 35–39 versus 30–34 divide reflected in trader pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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