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Tech prediction market odds Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? — December 31, 2029 22%, December 31, 2028 18%, December 31, 2027 10%Which company has the best AI model end of October? — Google 65%, Company A 50%, Company B 50%, Company C 50%Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026? — Jay Clayton 95%, Person B 50%, Person C 50%, Person D 50%Largest Company end of October 2026? — NVIDIA 95%, Company F 50%, Company G 50%, Company H 50%OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...? — December 31, 2029 18%, December 31, 2028 16%, December 31, 2027 8%Gemini 4.0 released by...? — November 30 98%, October 31 90%, October 15 78%, October 10 40%GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? — December 31 94%, October 31 24%, October 23 12%, October 16 8%OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? — December 31, 2027 52%, December 31, 2026 20%Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Anthropic 52%, Google 38%, OpenAI 7%, xAI 2%Trump names AI "czar" by...? — Yes 38%, No 62%Largest Company end of December 2026? — NVIDIA 84%, Apple 10%, Alphabet 4%, Microsoft 1%Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? — December 31 48%, November 30 34%, October 31 20%, October 23 13%Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...? — December 31, 2028 24%, December 31, 2027 14%, June 30, 2027 12%, December 31, 2026 4%Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...? — December 31, 2028 24%, December 31, 2027 20%, June 30, 2027 14%, December 31, 2026 6%Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...? — December 31, 2028 20%, December 31, 2027 12%, June 30, 2027 12%, December 31, 2026 4%Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? — December 31 98%, October 31 94%, October 24 86%, October 17 74%Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...? — December 31, 2028 22%, December 31, 2027 16%, June 30, 2027 10%, December 31, 2026 4%What will the next Muse model family be named? — Other 50%, Placeholder 1 50%, Placeholder 2 50%, Placeholder 3 50%OpenAI resumes training on...? — Not resumed by October 20 40%, October 20 11%, October 14 10%, October 15 8%Which company has the best AI model end of November? — Google 52%, Other 50%, Company A 50%, Company B 50%When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released? — No release by November 1 80%, October 19–October 25 8%, October 5–October 11 4%, October 12–October 18 4%GTA 6 launch postponed again? — Yes 5%, No 95%Texas enacts data center moratorium by...? — December 31, 2028 26%, December 31, 2027 16%, June 30, 2027 14%, December 31, 2026 6%Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? — December 31, 2028 16%, December 31, 2027 10%, June 30, 2027 8%, December 31, 2026 4%How many Codex resets week of September 28? — 2 92%, 3 <1%, 4+ <1%#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 28? — Google 95%, AI lab F 50%, AI lab G 50%, Other 50%Next Gemini Pro Model released on...? — No release by October 31 81%, October 12 8%, October 20 5%, October 6 5%Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December? — Company A 50%, Company B 50%, Company C 50%, Company D 50%AI bubble burst by...? — June 30, 2027 18%, December 31, 2026 7%Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut? — 1480+ 35%, 1495+ 32%, 1500+ 31%, 1490+ 30%2nd Largest Company end of October 2026? — Apple 90%, Company B 50%, Company C 50%, Company D 50%NuScale announces bankruptcy by...? — December 31, 2029 25%, December 31, 2028 20%, December 31, 2027 10%OpenRouter token usage week of September 28? — 165-170T 97%, 160-165T 1%, 155-160T 1%, 170T+ 0%OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? — Yes 16%, No 84%Meta's Watermelon released on...? — No release by October 31 36%, October 5 17%, October 28 12%, October 7 10%#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 28? — DeepSeek 96%, AI lab F 50%, AI lab G 50%, Other 50%#1 Searched Person on Google 2026? — Person 2 50%, Person 3 50%, Person 4 50%, Person 5 50%GPU rental prices (B200) end of October? — $6.50+ 82%, $6.00-$6.50 10%, $5.50-$6.00 4%, $5.00-$5.50 3%Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026? — Yes 13%, No 87%Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut? — 45%+ 95%, 50%+ 91%, 55%+ 52%, 60%+ 8%