Culture prediction market odds

Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? — 220-239 40%, 240-259 40%, 260-279 10%, 200-219 8%
Elon Musk # tweets October 3 - October 5, 2026? — 65-89 60%, 40-64 38%, 90-114 3%, 115-139 <1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? — December 31 3%, October 31 1%
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? — 200-219 28%, 220-239 24%, 240-259 16%, 180-199 14%
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? — 100M+ >99%, 90-100M <1%, <50M <1%, 50-60M <1%
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? — 200-219 24%, 180-199 20%, 220-239 20%, 160-179 10%
"Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office — 12-13m 93%, 13-14m 2%, 11-12m 2%, 14-15m 1%
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? — Yes 30%, No 70%
"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes) — 32-34m 95%, 30-32m 5%, 34-36m 1%, 28-30m <1%
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? — Spider-Man: Brand New Day 64%, Avengers: Doomsday 36%, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%, Dune: Messiah <1%
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets) — 150M+ 80%, 140-150M 6%, 130-140M 4%, 120-130M 2%
"Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office — 11-13M 72%, 9-11M 32%, 15M+ <1%, 7-9M <1%
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31? — Kaitlan Collins >99%, Barack Obama 97%, Jon Ossoff 90%, Kamala Harris 90%
#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 9) — Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 92%, Song 2 50%, Song 3 50%, Song 4 50%
"Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes) — <9m 99%, 9-11m 1%, 11-13m <1%, 13-15m <1%
Next James Bond actor? — Jack Lowden 39%, No Bond chosen 26%, Callum Turner 17%, Jack O'Connell 7%
# of views of MrBeast video on day 2? — 100M+ 78%, 96-100M 20%, 92-96M 2%, 88-92M <1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? — Yes 1%, No 99%
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? — Yes 6%, No 94%
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31? — <970m 94%, 970 - 975m 3%, 975 - 980m 2%, 990m+ 1%
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? — 1000+ 27%, 880-919 14%, 920-959 14%, 960-999 14%
What will be the top global Netflix show this week? — East of Eden: Limited Series 95%, Show A 50%, Show B 50%, Show C 50%
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner — Film D 50%, Film E 50%, Film F 50%, Film G 50%
Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026? — 40-64 60%, 65-89 30%, <40 6%, 90-114 4%
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? — Love 95%, Fake News 94%, Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times 86%, Independent 72%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? — Yes 5%, No 95%
Taylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31? — ↑ 107m 82%, ↑ 113m 13%, ↑ 110m 11%, ↑ 116m 4%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? — 1 70%, 2 28%, 3 <1%, 4 <1%
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31? — 150 - 160m 60%, <150m 39%, 160 - 170m 2%, 170 - 180m <1%
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner — Movie A 50%, Movie B 50%, Movie C 50%, Movie D 50%
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31? — Byron Donalds 97%, Kevin Warsh 88%, Flávio Bolsonaro 71%, Karoline Leavitt 71%
"Digger" Rotten Tomatoes Score? — 40+ >99%, 45+ >99%, 48+ 100%, 49+ 98%
"Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office — 7-8M 97%, 6-7M 3%, 8-9M 2%, 5-6M <1%
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? — East of Eden: Limited Series 70%, Show A 50%, Show B 50%, Show C 50%
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? — The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part 97%, Movie A 50%, Movie B 50%, Movie C 50%
What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? — Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1 94%, Show A 50%, Show B 50%, Show C 50%
"Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office — 7-9m 99%, 5-7m 1%, <5m 1%, 11-13m 1%
#2 Spotify Artist in October? — Artist B 50%, Artist C 50%, Artist D 50%, Artist E 50%
#1 Spotify song this week? (October 9) — BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky 99%, Song 1 50%, Song 2 50%, Song 3 50%
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026? — Person 2 50%, Person 3 50%, Person 4 50%, Person 5 50%