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低于 预测与赔率

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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

3%

June 30

$50M 交易量

$303K today

$131K Liq.

432

Ends 2 个月前

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$61 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$61 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.4K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - More Markets

-

$856 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs New Zealand Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs New Zealand Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$91 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: Ireland Under-19s vs Japan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Ireland Under-19s vs Japan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$489 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Australia Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Australia Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$97 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.6K 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Australia Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Australia Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.9K 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs New Zealand Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs New Zealand Under-19s - More Markets

-

$82 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

U19 World Cup: Afghanistan Under-19s vs Tanzania Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Afghanistan Under-19s vs Tanzania Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$286 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 4 个月前

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

88%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$159K 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

1%

$120K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

9

Ends 24 天内

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

38%

Morgan Stanley

$31.4K 交易量

$111K Liq.

1

Ends 超过 1 年内

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

71%

Goldman Sachs

$21.4K 交易量

$28.6K Liq.

Ends 超过 1 年内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

48%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

134

Ends 7 个月内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

41%

December 31, 2027

$493K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

31

Ends 超过 1 年内

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

78%

50

$20.7K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

2

Ends 7 个月内

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

43%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.7K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 低于 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 459 个活跃的 低于 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $53.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?",市场目前认为 June 30 的概率为 3%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 低于 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。