The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage results have kept the furthest-advancing host nation market tight, with the United States, Mexico, and Canada all positioned as plausible contenders based on early results and draw context. The U.S. and Mexico opened with convincing wins that boosted implied probabilities to the mid-50s and mid-30s respectively on Polymarket, while Canada's draw left it as a longer shot. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the U.S. and Mexico near each other in the global top 20 and Canada lower, but all three received favorable group placements as top seeds in an expanded 48-team field. This setup, combined with similar overall squad strength and the potential for any host to reach the knockout rounds or beyond, sustains competitive dynamics among the leaders rather than allowing one to pull away decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Mexico 100.0%
Canada <1%
United States <1%
$236,382 交易量
$236,382 交易量
2026-07-19
Canada
No
Mexico
Yes
United States
No
Mexico 100.0%
Canada <1%
United States <1%
$236,382 交易量
$236,382 交易量
2026-07-19
Canada
$32,912 交易量
No
Mexico
$85,293 交易量
Yes
United States
$118,178 交易量
No
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage results have kept the furthest-advancing host nation market tight, with the United States, Mexico, and Canada all positioned as plausible contenders based on early results and draw context. The U.S. and Mexico opened with convincing wins that boosted implied probabilities to the mid-50s and mid-30s respectively on Polymarket, while Canada's draw left it as a longer shot. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the U.S. and Mexico near each other in the global top 20 and Canada lower, but all three received favorable group placements as top seeds in an expanded 48-team field. This setup, combined with similar overall squad strength and the potential for any host to reach the knockout rounds or beyond, sustains competitive dynamics among the leaders rather than allowing one to pull away decisively.
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
交易量
$236,382结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage results have kept the furthest-advancing host nation market tight, with the United States, Mexico, and Canada all positioned as plausible contenders based on early results and draw context. The U.S. and Mexico opened with convincing wins that boosted implied probabilities to the mid-50s and mid-30s respectively on Polymarket, while Canada's draw left it as a longer shot. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the U.S. and Mexico near each other in the global top 20 and Canada lower, but all three received favorable group placements as top seeds in an expanded 48-team field. This setup, combined with similar overall squad strength and the potential for any host to reach the knockout rounds or beyond, sustains competitive dynamics among the leaders rather than allowing one to pull away decisively.
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$236,382结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage results have kept the furthest-advancing host nation market tight, with the United States, Mexico, and Canada all positioned as plausible contenders based on early results and draw context. The U.S. and Mexico opened with convincing wins that boosted implied probabilities to the mid-50s and mid-30s respectively on Polymarket, while Canada's draw left it as a longer shot. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the U.S. and Mexico near each other in the global top 20 and Canada lower, but all three received favorable group placements as top seeds in an expanded 48-team field. This setup, combined with similar overall squad strength and the potential for any host to reach the knockout rounds or beyond, sustains competitive dynamics among the leaders rather than allowing one to pull away decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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