FalleN, the veteran AWPer and in-game leader for FURIA, announced his retirement at the end of 2026 after a strong run that included a runner-up finish at the IEM Cologne Major. At age 35, his roster—featuring yuurih, KSCERATO, YEKINDAR, and molodoy—has posted competitive results in Valve Regional Standings events but has not secured an S-Tier title this season. With multiple remaining S-Tier tournaments on the 2026 calendar, including BLAST Open Fall and PGL events, traders assign a 66% implied probability to “No” based on FURIA’s historical inability to close out major finals, FalleN’s advancing age and announced exit, and the limited window before his final matches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于34% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
34% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FalleN, the veteran AWPer and in-game leader for FURIA, announced his retirement at the end of 2026 after a strong run that included a runner-up finish at the IEM Cologne Major. At age 35, his roster—featuring yuurih, KSCERATO, YEKINDAR, and molodoy—has posted competitive results in Valve Regional Standings events but has not secured an S-Tier title this season. With multiple remaining S-Tier tournaments on the 2026 calendar, including BLAST Open Fall and PGL events, traders assign a 66% implied probability to “No” based on FURIA’s historical inability to close out major finals, FalleN’s advancing age and announced exit, and the limited window before his final matches.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FalleN, the veteran AWPer and in-game leader for FURIA, announced his retirement at the end of 2026 after a strong run that included a runner-up finish at the IEM Cologne Major. At age 35, his roster—featuring yuurih, KSCERATO, YEKINDAR, and molodoy—has posted competitive results in Valve Regional Standings events but has not secured an S-Tier title this season. With multiple remaining S-Tier tournaments on the 2026 calendar, including BLAST Open Fall and PGL events, traders assign a 66% implied probability to “No” based on FURIA’s historical inability to close out major finals, FalleN’s advancing age and announced exit, and the limited window before his final matches.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...FalleN, the veteran AWPer and in-game leader for FURIA, announced his retirement at the end of 2026 after a strong run that included a runner-up finish at the IEM Cologne Major. At age 35, his roster—featuring yuurih, KSCERATO, YEKINDAR, and molodoy—has posted competitive results in Valve Regional Standings events but has not secured an S-Tier title this season. With multiple remaining S-Tier tournaments on the 2026 calendar, including BLAST Open Fall and PGL events, traders assign a 66% implied probability to “No” based on FURIA’s historical inability to close out major finals, FalleN’s advancing age and announced exit, and the limited window before his final matches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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