Taylor Swift maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 51.5% implied probability, driven by her unmatched historical dominance and nine nominations amid a tightly contested field. Madonna follows at 21.5% on the strength of her leading 11–13 total nods, including for a high-profile Confessions II project, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen trail far behind in market pricing despite their nominations. With fan voting open through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and late momentum in this fan-driven category, where Swift’s precedent as the most-awarded artist creates a slight edge but leaves room for an upset from Madonna’s current nomination surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年度VMA艺术家
2026年度VMA艺术家
泰勒·斯威夫特 52%
麦当娜 22%
Ariana Grande 5%
摩根·沃伦 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
泰勒·斯威夫特
52%
麦当娜
22%
Ariana Grande
5%
摩根·沃伦
2%
Bruno Mars
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
2%
泰勒·斯威夫特 52%
麦当娜 22%
Ariana Grande 5%
摩根·沃伦 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
泰勒·斯威夫特
$449 交易量
52%
麦当娜
$47 交易量
22%
Ariana Grande
$158 交易量
5%
摩根·沃伦
$22 交易量
2%
Bruno Mars
$22 交易量
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
$24 交易量
2%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 51.5% implied probability, driven by her unmatched historical dominance and nine nominations amid a tightly contested field. Madonna follows at 21.5% on the strength of her leading 11–13 total nods, including for a high-profile Confessions II project, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen trail far behind in market pricing despite their nominations. With fan voting open through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and late momentum in this fan-driven category, where Swift’s precedent as the most-awarded artist creates a slight edge but leaves room for an upset from Madonna’s current nomination surge.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
交易量
$723结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 51.5% implied probability, driven by her unmatched historical dominance and nine nominations amid a tightly contested field. Madonna follows at 21.5% on the strength of her leading 11–13 total nods, including for a high-profile Confessions II project, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen trail far behind in market pricing despite their nominations. With fan voting open through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and late momentum in this fan-driven category, where Swift’s precedent as the most-awarded artist creates a slight edge but leaves room for an upset from Madonna’s current nomination surge.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$723结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETTaylor Swift maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 51.5% implied probability, driven by her unmatched historical dominance and nine nominations amid a tightly contested field. Madonna follows at 21.5% on the strength of her leading 11–13 total nods, including for a high-profile Confessions II project, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen trail far behind in market pricing despite their nominations. With fan voting open through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and late momentum in this fan-driven category, where Swift’s precedent as the most-awarded artist creates a slight edge but leaves room for an upset from Madonna’s current nomination surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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