Trader consensus assigns the Houston Texans the highest implied probability for the AFC South title at 44%, reflecting their proven core around quarterback C.J. Stroud, a defense that ranked among the league's elite in 2025, and roster continuity heading into training camp. The Jacksonville Jaguars sit at 30.5% as defending division champions, buoyed by Trevor Lawrence's continued development, offensive scheme stability, and depth across skill positions despite a quiet offseason. The Indianapolis Colts hold 19.5% amid roster upgrades and schedule relief later in the year, while the Tennessee Titans trail at 7% amid a rebuilding phase with limited immediate contention markers. Recent injury updates, including key wide receiver absences in Houston, and early preseason evaluations have shaped these probabilities without major shifts in the past week.