Skip to main content

如需在美国交易,请访问 polymarket.us

icon for 下一任罗马尼亚总理由……任命?

下一任罗马尼亚总理由……任命?

icon for 下一任罗马尼亚总理由……任命?

下一任罗马尼亚总理由……任命?

$25,334 交易量

2026-09-30
Polymarket

$25,334 交易量

Polymarket

September 30

$633 交易量

64%

12月31日

$7,000 交易量

92%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, continues to shape trader views on the timing of the next confirmed appointment. President Nicușor Dan has conducted multiple rounds of consultations with parliamentary parties, including fresh talks scheduled around September 1, 2026, after earlier nominees Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea failed to secure the required 233 votes. Parties remain divided between center-right options and a potential PSD-led minority government under Sorin Grindeanu, but all major actors share strong incentives to reach a deal and avoid snap elections that could empower the leading hard-right AUR party. This institutional pressure, combined with the constitutional timeline allowing Dan additional nomination attempts before dissolution becomes viable, underpins the market's strong consensus on resolution by year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$25,334
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, continues to shape trader views on the timing of the next confirmed appointment. President Nicușor Dan has conducted multiple rounds of consultations with parliamentary parties, including fresh talks scheduled around September 1, 2026, after earlier nominees Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea failed to secure the required 233 votes. Parties remain divided between center-right options and a potential PSD-led minority government under Sorin Grindeanu, but all major actors share strong incentives to reach a deal and avoid snap elections that could empower the leading hard-right AUR party. This institutional pressure, combined with the constitutional timeline allowing Dan additional nomination attempts before dissolution becomes viable, underpins the market's strong consensus on resolution by year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$25,334
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一任罗马尼亚总理由……任命?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 92%,其次是"September 30",概率为 64%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 92¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 92%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"下一任罗马尼亚总理由……任命?"已产生 $25.3K 的总交易量(自Jun 23, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一任罗马尼亚总理由……任命?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任罗马尼亚总理由……任命?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 92%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 92%。紧随其后的结果是"September 30",概率为 64%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任罗马尼亚总理由……任命?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。